New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview (12/18/22): Betting Odds, Prediction, Depth Chart

The New England Patriots visit the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 15 of the 2022-23 NFL Season. The Patriots are coming off a comfortable win last week against the Cardinals, while the Raiders are coming off a last-second loss to the Rams. This should be an interesting matchup because of the history between Josh McDaniels and Bill Belichick. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!

New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders Betting Odds

The New England Patriots are a 1-point road favorite against the Las Vegas Raiders and are at -110 on the money line. The over/under is also at 44.5. It makes sense that the Patriots are favored because they’ve been the better team all year and have a better record. The Raiders have also been more inconsistent. The over/under makes sense because both teams have offenses that have shown flashes, while both defenses are very good too. This spread could move more too just because it’s very low.

New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

The pick: Raiders -1

The Raiders should be much better than they’ve shown this year because they do have talent. Derek Carr is still a very solid quarterback, and they have Davante Adams now as their primary receiver. Josh Jacobs has also emerged as one of the best running backs in the NFL. The offense averages 24 points and 378 total yards a game for the year. The defense needs to be better with Maxx Crosby being the only real major talent along the defensive line. They have young talent on defense, but lacks experience overall. The Patriots are another team that’s been inconsistent this year. Mac Jones hasn’t grown enough this year and the receiving corps is just okay with Jakobi Meyers leading the way there. The running backs have been good with the combination of Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson both seeing time. The offense is also being run by two different coaches who have never called offensive plays in their life, which hasn’t helped Jones at all. While the offense has been inconsistent at best, the defense has been great. Matthew Judon has been great off the edge and Devin MCourty is still the leader in the secondary. Take the Raiders here, they’re at home and should be able to rebound after blowing another game where they were leading by double-digits. There’s also just not much to trust about the Patriots offense right now.

Betting Trends

Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Raiders are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries

New England Patriots Injuries: OL Trent Brown (Illness) P, WR Jakobi Meyers (Head) O

Las Vegas Raiders Injuries: RB Josh Jacobs (Finger) Q, WR Hunter Renfrow (Oblique) O

Key Matchups

Check out the key matchups and mismatches for New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders below.

Derek Carr vs the Patriots Secondary

Derek Carr has been solid this year, but he’s still underwhelmed compared to what people thought he could do. He has 3,117 passing yards, 20 passing touchdowns, 10 interceptions, and he has a 62% completion percentage on the year. He should be much better in Josh McDaniels’ offense, but something has been off. The Patriots allow 223 passing yards, which is a tough matchup for Carr. The Raiders need Carr to have a big game here, especially if Josh Jacobs is limited or doesn’t play at all.

Mac Jones vs the Raiders Secondary

Mac Jones had a lot of potential after last year, and still does, but he’s definitely taken a step back. He has 2,198 passing yards, seven passing touchdowns, eight interceptions, and he has a 68% completion percentage on the year. He hasn’t shown a lot of growth just yet. The Raiders allow 268 passing yards a game, which is a very good matchup for Jones. He needs to have a big game here for the Patriots to have a chance, especially against their pass defense.

New England Patriots Depth Chart

QB: Mac Jones
RB1: Rhamondre Stevenson
RB2: Damien Harris
LWR: Nelson Agholor
RWR: DeVante Parker
SWR: Jakobi Meyers
TE1: Hunter Henry

Las Vegas Raiders Depth Chart

QB: Derek Carr
RB1: Josh Jacobs
RB2: Brandon Bolden
LWR: Davante Adams
RWR: Mack Hollins
SWR: Ameer Abdullah
TE1: Foster Moreau