Get Saints vs. Buccaneers player prop picks & odds for their (12/31/23) matchup.
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New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Picks
The Buccaneers are on the verge of clinching the NFC South. Can the Saints win on the road keep themselves in contention? Here’s a look at some of the best player prop bets for the New Year’s Eve battle in Tampa.
Rachaad White 25+ Receiving Yards (+104, FanDuel)
Rachaad White has become a focal point of the Buccaneers’ offense in recent weeks, receiving heavy usage on the ground. What hasn’t changed is his role as a pass-catcher, which has been pretty prominent throughout the year.
White is averaging 3.7 receptions per game this season and has multiple catches in all 15 games, so he’s sure to see some work in that department. He was explosive as a pass-catcher against the Falcons and Packers, totaling 83 receiving yards on just four catches, and the Buccaneers rewarded him with seven targets last week against Jacksonville. As White continues to cement himself as a huge part of Tampa’s offense, 25 yards certainly seems easily attainable.
Derek Carr Under 245.5 Passing Yards (-114, FanDuel)
While it’s more likely than not that Derek Carr will have to try to pass the Saints back into this game at some point, his track record indicates 246+ yards is a tough mark to hit unless he finds major garbage-time success.
Carr has finished under 230 yards in 9 of 15 games this season, averaging a middling seven yards per pass attempt, and he was totally shut down by these same Buccaneers at home earlier this season. Carr finished 23-of-37 for 127 yards in that game, setting a season-low with 3.4 yards per attempt. With 230+ yards in just two of his last seven games and the Buccaneers defense’s propensity for turnovers, Carr faces a tough road to a sky-high yardage total on Sunday.
Rashid Shaheed 50+ Receiving Yards (+162, FanDuel)
Rashid Shaheed is a bit of a hit-or-miss player as a downfield threat, but just one of those big plays could get him pretty close to 50 yards.
The Saints could be playing from behind in Tampa, with the Buccaneers’ offense forcing teams to play that style by consistently jumping out to leads in recent weeks. Tampa’s pass defense also isn’t as strong as its run defense, though last week’s win over the Jaguars was a step in the right direction. If Derek Carr is forced to try and claw the Saints back for at least a bit, as he was last week, when Shaheed had 70 yards and was targeted nine times, the path is there.
Why 50 yards and not just over 36.5? Shaheed hasn’t had a single game between 37-62 yards this season. He’s all-or-nothing, and “all” is worth a look at +162.
Mike Evans Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+120, FanDuel)
Buccaneers OC Dave Canales has wisely been sticking with what’s working in recent weeks, and that includes targeting Mike Evans early and often. Evans has scored a touchdown in six of his last seven games (including two multi-touchdown games), with the only exception being a game in which he caught only one of his six targets. That was an obvious fluke in relation to his track record this season, and Baker Mayfield understands his best bet to find the end zone is the veteran Evans.
Chris Godwin has just one touchdown this season, so Evans’ status as Mayfield’s premier red zone target appears safe in a game the Buccaneers should be highly motivated to win with the division title on the line.