The Jets are looking to bounce back from an ugly Monday night loss as they head to Las Vegas on Sunday night (11/12/23) at 8:20 p.m. EST to face a Raiders team under new leadership. Let’s take a look at Jets vs. Raiders odds and predictions as Las Vegas tries to climb back to .500, with Jets moneyline as our best bet.
Jets vs. Raiders Prediction
The Jets have proven they can beat teams with broken offenses. It’s still tough to believe this Raiders offense is ready to take off.
Aidan O’Connell has looked OK in his limited time as a starter. But he hasn’t perfected his connection with Davante Adams and won’t have time to figure that out against a Jets defense with one of the best secondaries in the league. After relentless pressure and a strong secondary held Justin Herbert in check on Monday night, it’s reasonable to believe the defense will have the same effect on O’Connell.
The Jets lost that game by 21, though. What will be different this time? Two of the Chargers’ three touchdowns came off fumbles. But losing two fumbles in one game likely won’t happen again. The Jets averaged less than one fumble lost per game before Week 9. A depleted Jets offensive line won’t be facing a pass-rush attack with as many weapons – Maxx Crosby has been a one-man show this season. Las Vegas’ run defense is much softer than the Chargers’, which should allow Breece Hall to be more effective.
The Jets are built to only win certain types of games. There is a strong chance this will be one of those games with the Raiders still having so much to prove under Antonio Pierce. Jets moneyline is a nice value on the road.
Jets vs. Raiders Prediction: Jets Moneyline (-106)
Jets vs. Raiders Best Odds
The Jets are slight 1-point favorites on the road, though the Raiders are slightly favored on the moneyline at -110. The over/under is 36.5 points.
The Jets would have been more decisively favored had a dismal offensive performance against the Chargers not tanked their stock. While the Raiders looked great under Antonio Pierce, even a weak Jets offense won’t be as easy to beat as the Giants. Can Las Vegas keep it up?
Jets vs. Raiders Key Injuries
Raiders OT Kolton Miller missed practice time with a shoulder injury. I’s unclear if his status for Sunday is at risk. CB Marcus Peters also missed practice on Wednesday with a knee injury.
For the Jets, the health of the offensive line is crucial. Billy Turner is questionable with a broken finger, while Duane Brown appears set for a return from a hip injury after missing six games.
Jets vs. Raiders Key Matchups
Here are some of the key matchups that could decide Jets vs. Raiders.
Maxx Crosby vs. Jets Offensive Line
The concern entering the Jets’ matchup with the Chargers was whether New York’s offensive line would hold up against Joey Bosa, Khalil Mack and LA’s pass-rush. It didn’t. Bosa had his way with the line, consistently getting to Zach Wilson, and Tuli Tuipulotu was generating pressure as well.
Fortunately for the Jets, the Raiders’ pass-rush attack is mostly limited to just one player. Maxx Crosby is the only Raiders defender with more than four QB hits this season. The problem, however, is that Crosby is an elite talent.
A depleted Jets line that wasn’t very stable to begin with needs to be able to control Crosby. And the return of veteran Duane Brown might at least help that effort. If Crosby is double-teamed and contained, pressure will shift to his teammates to take advantage and get to Zach Wilson.
Davante Adams vs. Jets Secondary
Jimmy Garoppolo’s inability to throw accurate passes to Davante Adams was the primary reason he was benched. There have been times this season when Adams wasn’t being targeted as much as he should’ve been, but the biggest issue was Garoppolo’s inability to put the ball in his hands. Can Aidan O’Connell do it?
Adams didn’t need to go off against the Giants for the Raiders to win last week – he was targeted seven times but finished with just 34 yards on four catches. All of those numbers are going to have to rise if the Raiders want to climb back into contention, but the Jets’ secondary won’t make it easy.
New York is allowing the second-fewest yards per pass attempt, and facing a rookie quarterback making his third career start is a prime opportunity for a Jets defense that just had Justin Herbert struggling six days earlier. It’s going to be up to Adams to help bail out O’Connell – this is the kind of game the Raiders got him for.