New York Jets vs. New York Giants NFL Player Props & Picks (10/29/23)
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The Jets and Giants meet for the first time since 2019, in a matchup of teams with offensive challenges. Both are coming off wins, but with Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed back for the Jets, is there any upside to the Giants’ offense?
You can use the player prop search tool above to see the latest betting odds for this game from different sportsbooks. Here’s a closer look at the best player prop bets for Sunday’s matchup.
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New York Jets vs. New York Giants Player Prop Picks
Tyler Conklin Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Zach Wilson has felt very comfortable with TE Tyler Conklin, who has posted 50+ yards in three of the five games started by Wilson. Conklin hasn’t had fewer than 24 yards in any game started by Wilson, and his keen ability to pile up yards after contact should help him pass the 30-yard mark against the Giants.
As solid as the Giants’ defense is, it just let Commanders TE Logan Thomas go for 51 yards and let both Noah Fant and George Kittle post 60+ yards earlier in the season. As long as Wilson is trusting Conklin and throwing his way, anything over 29.5 yards has a strong chance of hitting on Sunday.
Darren Waller Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+300, BetMGM)
I’ll be the first to admit I’m skeptical of how many scoring chances the Giants will be able to take advantage of against this Jets defense — or how many they will even have. If they do have a chance, though, it’s safe to say Darren Waller is a strong candidate to see targets from Tyrod Taylor.
Taylor targeted Waller in the end zone unsuccessfully against the Bills when the game was on the line, and he found Waller for a touchdown against the Commanders last week. In all, Waller has been targeted 15 times (12 catches) in Taylor’s two starts. The TE is going to be heavily involved in the Giants’ red zone offense, and +300 odds for a TD are worth a close look.
Zach Wilson Under 0.5 TD Passes (+190, BetMGM)
At +190, no passing touchdowns for Zach Wilson is worth consideration. Wilson has been held without a passing touchdown in three of his last four games, and a leaky Giants run defense should allow the Jets to let Breece Hall run wild.
While the Jets’ offense has improved of late, Wilson’s lack of touchdowns isn’t just a matter of New York leaning on the running game. The Jets’ red zone offense has been abysmal, and that dates back to last season. It was theorized that Mike LaFleur was the issue with the red zone offense, but so far, the common thread is Wilson.
The Jets’ only touchdown vs. the Eagles came when Philadelphia let Hall score in the final minutes, and it’s entirely possible we see another field goal battle on Sunday.
Saquon Barkley Over 69.5 Rushing Yards (-114, FanDuel)
We went with the over on 63.5 rushing yards for Barkley last week, and he racked up 77 against the Commanders. As much as the Giants’ passing game has seen more success with Taylor under center, Barkley has remained a gigantic part of the offensive gameplan. He’s averaging 22.5 carries per game since returning from an ankle injury, though efficiency has been hit-or-miss.
The Jets’ defense is allowing a whopping 5.2 yards per carry, so don’t be scared off by New York’s defensive success when it largely comes from the pass defense. The Jets also aren’t likely to have enough offensive firepower to pull away from the Giants early, so there shouldn’t be a reason for the Giants to turn away from the running game. With the total under 70 yards, I’m taking the over on rushing yards for Barkley.