New York Yankees Vs. Boston Red Sox (7/10/22) Starting Lineup, Betting Odds, Prediction

New York is 61-23 through their first 84 games of the season, first place in the American League East, -4000 to win the division; they’ve won the AL East once since 2013. The Yankees at +400 are the favorite to win their first World Series since 2009 when they beat the Philadelphia Phillies; New York has won a major league record 27 World Series titles. 

In 2021 the Boston Red Sox won 92 games and fell two games short of reaching the World Series, losing to the Houston Astros in the American League Championship Series.  Boston is 45-39 in 84 games of the 2022 season: third place in the American League East.  They are +5000 to win the AL East this season; their last division title was 2018.  The Red Sox are +3000 to win their fifth World Series since 2000.

New York Yankees Vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Odds

The Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 during game four of a series.  Under is 16-5-2 in New York’s last 23 during game four of a series.  The Yankees are 8-0 in Jameson Taillon’s last eight road starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Over is 4-0 in New York’s last four vs. American League East.  The Red Sox are 0-4 in their last four vs. American League East opponents.  Over is 5-2 in Boston’s last seven vs. American League East foes.  The Red Sox are 7-0 in their last seven Sunday games.  Boston is 1-4 in their last five games vs. a right-handed starter.

New York Yankees Starting Lineup

J. Taillon R
9-2 3.63 ERA

1B D.J. LeMahieu R
CF A. Judge R
DH A. Rizzo L
RF G. Stanton R
3B J. Donaldson R
2B G. Torres R
LF A. Hicks S
SS I. Kiner-Falefa R
C J. Trevino R

New York Yankees Vs. Nick Pivetta (R)

In the 2021 season, Aaron Judge played in 148 games, belting 39 home runs, driving in 98 runs with an OPS of .916.  This season he leads the majors in home runs (30) and second in total bases with 190.  Additionally, he’s tied for second in slugging percentage (.617) and fifth in OPS (.979) while his 64 runs batted in are fourth in MLB.  New York’s big number 99 leads the club with a .282 batting average.  Judge is the favorite to win the 2022 American League MVP at -125. 

Giancarlo Stanton hit .273, slamming 35 home runs and driving in 97 runs in 2021.  In his season as a Yankee, the 32-year-old has hit 21 home runs (third on the club), 54 runs driven in, 127 total bases with a .833 OPS and a .510 slugging percentage in 2022. 

Anthony Rizzo has slammed 22 home runs this season (second on the Yankees) while knocking in 52 runs with 139 total bases in 2022.  The first baseman has been battling a back injury and questionable to play Sunday evening against the Red Sox.  Gleyber Torres has hit 13 home runs and driven in 37 runs this season for New York.  The second baseman is hitting .269 with 127 total bases and a .488 slugging percentage.  DJ LeMahieu has hit .299 since joining the Yankees in 2019.  This season, he’s hitting .262 with eight home runs, 34 runs driven in, 110 total bases with an OPS of .768.  Since joining the Yankees at the end of May, infielder Matt Carpenter is hitting .305 while belting nine home runs in only 59 at-bats.  The ex-Cardinal has also driven in 20 runs with a .814 slugging percentage and an OPS of 1.219 in 2022.

Nick Pivetta is 8-6 in 17 starts with an ERA of 2.68 this season.  In 100 innings, he has struck out 95 batters, allowed 41 runs with a 1.156 WHIP in 2022.  The sixth-year veteran has won 38 games in his career with an ERA of 4.94 in 661 2/3 innings pitched with 704 strikeouts.

Boston Red Sox Starting Lineup

N. Pivetta R
8-6 3.68 ERA

CF J. Duran L
3B R. Devers L
DH J. Martinez R
SS X. Bogaerts R
LF A. Verdugo L
2B T. Story R
1B F. Cordero L
C C. Vazquez R
RF J. Bradley L

Boston Red Sox Vs. Jameson Taillon (R)

Third baseman, Rafael Devers made his first All-Star team in 2021.  Last year, Devers batted .279, slammed 38 long balls and drove in a team leading 113 runs.  This year, he’s hitting .319 to lead the team in 324 at-bats.  Devers leads the team in hits (106), home runs (19), slugging percentage (.593) and OPS (.977).  Additionally, he’s driven in 51 runs, accumulated 192 total bases while scoring 59 runs in 2022.   Selected as the American League’s starting third baseman for the second straight year on Friday, he most likely is out of the lineup on Sunday.

In 2021, Trevor Story hit 24 home runs, knocked in 75 runs with an OPS of .801 for the Colorado Rockies.  In 2022, Story, playing second base has hit 16 doubles, 15 home runs (second on the team) and leads the Red Sox in runs batted in with 55.  He has 127 total bases, a slugging percentage of .432 and an OPS of .727 in his first season in Boston.  Xander Bogaerts, a three-time American League All-Star, hit .295 with 23 home runs and 79 runs driven in last year.  This season, he’s hitting .306 with 21 doubles, seven home run, 35 runs batted in with 129 total bases.  He also has a .448 slugging percentage with an OPS of .830 in 2022.

Alex Verdugo played in 146 games last season, batting .289 with 13 home runs and 63 runs batted in.  Verdugo has hit six home runs with 43 runs batted in and 111 total bases.  He has a slugging percentage of .370 with an OPS of .691 in 2022.  Spending most of his time as Boston’s designated hitter in the 2021 season, J.D. Martinez hit .286 with 28 home runs and 99 runs batted in.  In 2022, Martinez is hitting .314 with 26 doubles, eight home runs, 34 runs batted in with 140 total bases. 

Jameson Taillon is 9-2 in 16 starts with an ERA of 3.63 this season.  In 89 1/3 innings, he has struck out 74 batters, allowed 6 runs with a 1.153 WHIP in 2022.  The sixth-year veteran has won 46 games in his career with an ERA of 3.79 in 699 2/3 innings pitched with 633 strikeouts.

Boston Red Sox Vs. New York Yankees Picks & Prediction

Offensively, the Yankees are scoring 5.24 runs per nine innings, first overall in MLB.  They have a team batting average of .243, 14th in the league, and their OPS is .770, first in baseball.  New York’s pitching staff is allowing 3.05 runs per nine innings, first in MLB with opponents’ batting .213 with an OPS of .620 against the club, second in the big leagues in both categories.

The Red Sox are averaging 4.71 runs per nine innings, seventh in the majors, first in batting average at .260 and an OPS of .739, seventh in the big leagues.  Boston’s pitching staff is allowing 4.17 runs per nine innings, 12th in Major League Baseball and foes are hitting .234 against the Red Sox: ninth in the big leagues. 

I’ll go with the Yankees in this game as they are the highest scoring club in major league baseball while the Red Sox are in the top of half of the big leagues in runs allowed per game, which has kept them in the hunt for a playoff spot in 2022.  New York covers the 1.5 run spread and earns another road victory in 2022.

Scott has been a sports fan since he received a New York Mets jacket as a toddler. He’s been playing fantasy baseball and football for over 20 years, dating back to Frank Thomas being one of his first fantasy baseball picks. As a professional, he has covered the NFL, MLB, NCAAF, and NCAAB and is looked to as the go-to guy for fantasy sports amongst family, friends, and co-workers.

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