New York Yankees Vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (7/6/22) Starting Lineup, Betting Odds, Prediction

New York is 58-22 through their first 80 games of the season, first place in the American League East, -2500 to win the division; they’ve won the AL East once since 2013. The Yankees at +400 are the favorite to win their first World Series since 2009 when they beat the Philadelphia Phillies; New York has won a major league record 27 World Series titles. 

In 2022, the Pirates are 32-47 in their first 79 games, third place in the National League Central.  They have a .1% chance of making the 2022 postseason and their last appearance in the playoffs was 2015.  Pittsburgh made the postseason three straight seasons: 2013-15.  The Pirates last World Series title was 1979; they famously beat the Yankees in the 1960 World Series in seven games.

New York Yankees Vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Odds

The Yankees are 6-4 in their last 10 games.  New York has won over 23 games on the road in 2022.  Against right-handed pitching New York is at least 22 games over .500 this campaign.  The Yankees are 10-5 against Pittsburgh all-time; this is their first series against each other since 2017.

In their last 20 games, Pittsburgh is 8-12 this year.  The Pirates are at least four games under .500 in inter-league games this season.  Pittsburgh is 19-22 at home through their first 41 games at PNC Park in 2022. Through their first 50 matchups against righties this season, the Pirates are 21-29.

New York Yankees Starting Lineup

L. Severino R
4-3 3.35 ERA

1B D.J. LeMahieu R
CF A. Judge R
DH A. Rizzo L
RF G. Stanton R
3B J. Donaldson R
2B G. Torres R
LF A. Hicks S
SS I. Kiner-Falefa R
C J. Trevino R

New York Yankees Vs. Mitch Keller (R)

In the 2021 season, Aaron Judge played in 148 games, belting 39 home runs, driving in 98 runs with an OPS of .916.  This season he leads the majors in home runs (29) and second in total bases with 182.  Additionally, he’s fourth in slugging percentage (.619) and fifth in OPS (.981) while his 59 runs batted in are fourth in MLB.  New York’s big number 99 leads the club with a .282 batting average.  Judge is the favorite to win the 2022 American League MVP at -130. 

Giancarlo Stanton hit .273, slamming 35 home runs and driving in 97 runs in 2021.  In his 13th season, he has 20 home runs (third on the club), 53 runs driven in, 123 total bases with a .847 OPS and a .519 slugging percentage in 2022. 

Anthony Rizzo has slammed 22 home runs this season (second on the Yankees) while knocking in 52 runs with 139 total bases in 2022.  Playing in his first full season in pinstripes, the left-handed hitter has an OPS of .844 with a .507 slugging percentage. 

Gleyber Torres has hit 13 home runs and driven in 35 runs this season for New York.  The second baseman is hitting .252 with 115 total bases and a .475 slugging percentage.  DJ LeMahieu has hit .300 since joining the Yankees in 2019.  This season, he’s hitting .262 with eight home runs, 32 runs driven in, 104 total bases with an OPS of .769.  Additionally, LeMahieu has scored 44 runs and drawn 38 walks this campaign.

Mitch Keller is 2-5 in 15 games (13 starts) with an ERA of 5.14 in 2022.  In 70 innings, he has struck out 59 batters, allowed 40 runs with a WHIP of 1.529 this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Starting Lineup

M. Keller R
2-5 5.14 ERA

3B K. Hayes R
CF B. Reynolds S
LF J. Suwinski L
DH D. Vogelbach L
1B Y. Tsutsugo L
SS O. Cruz L
RF B. Madris L
C M. Perez L
2B J. VanMeter L

Pittsburgh Pirates Vs. Luis Severino (R)

Centerfielder Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (15), total bases (131) and OPS (.788).  He’s hit eight doubles, three triples, knocked in 32 runs, which also leads the club and slugging .460 in 2022.  Jack Suwinski is second on Pittsburgh with 13 home runs this campaign.  He has 23 runs batted in, 90 total bases with a .474 slugging percentage and an OPS of .782 in 2022. 

Daniel Vogelbach who serves mostly as the Pirates’ designated hitter has belted 10 home runs in this year.  The 29-year-old has driven in 26 runs, accumulated 87 total bases with a .435 slugging percentage and an OPS of .771 in his first season in Pittsburgh.

Michael Chavis has hit seven doubles, nine home runs, driven in 27 runs with a slugging percentage of .429 in 2022.  In his fourth season, he has 90 total bases and a .719 OPS.   Third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .256 in his first 270 at-bats this season.  Hayes has hit three home runs, knocked in 25 runs with 97 total bases.  Oneil Cruz is the favorite to win the National League Rookie of the Year at +370.  In his first 54 at-bats this season, he has three home runs, 12 runs batted in with an OPS + of 85.  Cruz is a phenomenal shortstop with a .971 fielding percentage with only two errors in his first 70 chances in 2022.

Luis Severino is 4-3 in 14 starts with an ERA of 3.35 in 2022.  He averages 5 2/3 innings pitched per start while 6.81 hits per outing this campaign.  In 78 innings pitched in 2022, the 28-year-old has struck out 91 batters with a 1.051 WHIP. 

New York Yankees Vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Picks & Prediction

Offensively, the Yankees are scoring 5.04 runs per nine innings, second overall in MLB.  They have a team batting average of .238, 20th in the league, and their OPS is .753, fourth in baseball.  New York’s pitching staff is allowing 3.02 runs per nine innings, first in MLB with opponents’ batting .212 with an OPS of .617 against the club, second in the big leagues in both categories.

Pittsburgh is averaging 3.78 runs per nine innings, 28th in Major League Baseball. They have a team batting average of .221, 28th in the league, and their OPS is .662, 28th in all of MLB.  The Pirates’ pitching staff is allowing 5.29 runs per nine innings, 27th in the league with opponents’ batting .256 against the team, 25th in MLB. 

I’ll go with the Yankees in this game as they are the second highest scoring club in major league baseball while the Pirates are in the bottom part of the big leagues in runs allowed per game.  New York covers the 1.5 run spread and earns another road victory in 2022.

Scott has been a sports fan since he received a New York Mets jacket as a toddler. He’s been playing fantasy baseball and football for over 20 years, dating back to Frank Thomas being one of his first fantasy baseball picks. As a professional, he has covered the NFL, MLB, NCAAF, and NCAAB and is looked to as the go-to guy for fantasy sports amongst family, friends, and co-workers.

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