NFL Week 11 Odds and Lookahead Lines: Four Bets to Make This Weekend
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Get a jump on NFL Week 11 odds & lookahead lines, along with four bets to place before lines begin to move for next week. Find updated NFL Week 11 odds below.
Week 11 NFL Odds & Lines
Lookahead NFL odds & Lines for Week 11
NFL Week 11 Betting Picks
The Chiefs, Dolphins, and Eagles are among teams enjoying a bye in Week 10, but all will be back in action for Week 11. With 14 games on the Week 10 schedule, though, expect plenty of lines to change between now and the start of Week 11.
Let’s take a look at the early Week 11 odds and which bets to place early.
Houston Texans (+3.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals
I’m skeptical about how much this line will move, but there is real value on the Texans even if it doesn’t. Houston has been much better at home, going 3-1 with wins over competitive teams like the Saints and Steelers.
While the Texans may be set up for a loss on the road in Cincinnati this week, injuries to the Bengals’ top receivers could make that game more competitive than most expect and lend credence to the idea that Houston can at least hang with some of the AFC’s best now that C.J. Stroud has emerged as a high-level quarterback.
As hard as the Cardinals have played this season, this line gives a bit too much credit to the idea that Kyler Murray is going to come in and fix everything. It’s unlikely Murray will be a transformative addition against the Falcons this week, and a sluggish game vs. Atlanta would snap oddsmakers back to reality about the Cardinals. The Texans are worth an early look at +3.5.
Dallas Cowboys (-9) vs. Carolina Panthers
The Panthers have already played (and disappointed) in Week 10, so line movement may not be dramatic, but this one is pretty straightforward: The Cowboys should win by a huge margin this weekend, and it likely won’t look right to keep this line in the single-digits.
Dallas has dominated the Giants for a handful of years now, earning a 40-0 victory to start the season, and we could see a similar result with Tommy DeVito under center for a broken offense.
The Panthers’ offense is similarly broken, and while Bryce Young is more capable than DeVito, we saw vs. the Bears just how difficult it is for Carolina to put together a scoring drive. Even when the Panthers are moving down the field, it looks arduous and requires third or fourth down conversions. The Bears nearly let them off the hook; the Cowboys, who could have Young under pressure all day, won’t.
Whether the Cowboys can beat the best in the league is a question, but Dallas has proven it can blow teams like this out of the water in any building.
New York Jets (-7) vs. Buffalo Bills
The Jets have kept it exceptionally close against the Bills over the last two seasons, earning two wins and a one-possession loss. With the way the Bills have been playing, it wouldn’t be surprising to see another close game.
Buffalo’s defense has been hit hard by injuries, but it’s the offense that continues to look all out of sorts. Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs are dealing with minor injuries, but the unit just hasn’t looked strong and could be in for a sneaky test this week against a Broncos defense that has made strides recently. There’s no question the Jets’ defense will give Allen a tough time, as it always does, and it’ll then be on New York’s offense to capitalize on mistakes and stay with Buffalo. That hasn’t been a problem in their recent matchups.
The Jets also have an opportunity to swing momentum their way when their vaunted defense faces rookie Aidan O’Connell in primetime. Either a Jets win or a struggle session for the Bills against Denver could move this line just under a touchdown.
Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Seahawks lost to the Rams at home in Week 1, but the rest of their season has gone pretty much according to script. Seattle has beaten the teams it should beat but lost in Cincinnati and Baltimore to top AFC contenders. The Seahawks’ Week 10 game is one they should win.
A Commanders team suffering defensively is a great opportunity for Geno Smith to get back on track in what’s been an inconsistent season for the veteran, and the recent emergence of Jaxon Smith-Njigba should make Smith’s job easier. A get-right game for the offense would be a boost to Seattle’s outlook entering Week 11, where the Rams await as another team the Seahawks should beat.
LA doesn’t have much of a home-field advantage, and Matthew Stafford’s thumb injury is lingering as a question even as he gets set to return. A field goal could very well be the difference against a team like the Rams, so I’m taking this line as long as it stays under a field goal.