NFL Anytime Touchdown Odds & Best Bets (10/8/23): Week 5 Anytime TD Expert Picks & Predictions

Get Anytime Touchdown player prop picks & odds for the (10/8/23) NFL Sunday slate.

Anytime Touchdown Player Prop Picks

Check out below for Week Five Anytime Touchdown best bets. In this prop, the goal is to select a player who scores at least one rushing or receiving touchdown at any point in the game (passing touchdowns do not count for QBs). 

David Montgomery Anytime Touchdown (-154 Caesars)

Montgomery ranks second in rushing touchdowns and third in PFF’s expected rushing touchdowns. Detroit loves to feed him the ball in the red zone, and their effective offensive line opens lanes for him. With Amon-Ra St. Brown doubtful, Montgomery’s volume will see a decent bump here. 

Carolina is dead last in opponent rush expected points added per play, 28th in opponent yards per rush, 26th in opponent rushing touchdowns, and 29th in PFF’s run defense grade. The Panthers cannot stop the ground game in the slightest, which bodes well for Montgomery. It couldn’t be a better matchup for the Lions running back.

Bijan Robinson Anytime Touchdown (+115 DK)

Atlanta wanted to ease Bijan Robinson into the NFL, so Tyler Allgeier received 31 carries in the first two weeks. However, that plummeted to 14 over the past two weeks because the Falcons are unleashing Robinson, who has dazzled. He ranks 5th in yards per attempt, 10th in yards after contact per attempt, and 4th in PFF’s run grade. Given head coach Athur Smith’s desire to run the ball, Atlanta is likely to rush in the red zone instead of throwing. 

Robinson faces a Houston squad that fields a putrid run defense. They rank 29th in opponent rushing touchdowns, 20th in opponent yards per carry, and dead last in PFF’s overall run defense grade. This problem has plagued the Texans in recent years, and Robinson sits in an excellent position to take advantage of this weakness.

Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown (+200 BMGM)

Andrews is third across the NFL in reception touchdowns despite missing the first week. His massive frame and reliable hands deem him a monstrous red zone target, but his ability to force missed open field tackles means Andrews can score from anywhere. Baltimore’s passing offense has essentially been Andrews and Zay Flowers (they own 8 of 11 red zone targets), so Lamar Jackson’s go-to target should once again receive plenty of volume. 

Pittsburgh’s defense ranks 27th in opponent passing touchdowns 23rd in PFF’s coverage grade, so Andrews has a good matchup here. He’s never scored in eight career games versus Pittsburhg, but their defense has also rarely been this exploitable.

AJ Brown Anytime Touchdown (+145 Caesars)

All signs point towards massive production for AJ Brown. Across the NFL, he’s second in both target share and air yards while placing third in PFF’s expected receiving touchdowns. The star wide receiver has 18 receptions, 306 yards and two touchdowns over the past two weeks, and he remains Jalen Hurts’ preferred option – Brown is third in first read target share across the NFL per Fantasy Points. 

The Rams have only allowed three passing touchdowns, but this is unsustainable per PFF (31st in coverage grade). Regardless of the matchup though, Brown is an anytime touchdown play for the foreseeable future at these odds.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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