North Carolina visits Miami after blowing out Virginia Tech last week. Miami had last week off after losing to Middle Tennessee State the week before. This should be a dynamic matchup. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!
North Carolina vs. Miami Odds
Miami is a 3.5-point home favorite and is at -170 on the money line. The over/under is also set at 66. Miami being favored here honestly doesn’t make a ton of sense besides them being at home. Miami has not looked good in their past two games, and maybe a bye week fixes some of that, but this still doesn’t make much sense and immediately jumps out. North Carolina’s defense is very bad, it doesn’t warrant this spread still.
The over/under jumps out for being high, but it makes sense. North Carolina’s offense is one of the best in the country and then also Miami can score too, just not as easily. This spread just doesn’t make sense to me, so keep an eye on any movement here at all.
North Carolina vs. Miami Prediction & Pick
The Pick: North Carolina +3.5
The North Carolina Tar Heels have been up and down in their games, but are still 4-1. The biggest reason is how good the offense has been in all their games. They are averaging 45 points and 507 total yards on offense. The catalyst is Drake Maye at quarterback who’s become one of the best quarterbacks in the whole country. However, what is the biggest issue with the Tar Heels is easily the defense. They are allowing 34 points and 451 total yards a game on defense, which at first glance makes you question how they have only have one loss.
The Hurricanes, on the other hand, seem to be in a complete state of disarray. They are coming off a bye, but before that lost a very ugly game to Texas A&M, and then was shocked at home to Middle Tennessee State. The biggest concern with the Hurricanes is what the offense can produce after those two games. Overall, the offense is averaging 35 points and 449 total yards a game. The defense is also giving up 21 points and 336 total yards. The Hurricanes could right the ship, especially after a bye and being at home. However, take the Tar Heels here especially with how good the offense is, and it just seems like it’s asking too much for the Hurricanes to try and rebound after how they’ve looked up to this point.
North Carolina vs. Miami Key Matchups
Can the Miami secondary do anything to contain Luke Maye? Can Tyler Van Dyke expose the North Carolina secondary?
Drake Maye vs the Miami Secondary
Drake Maye has been a revelation for the Tar Heels so far. Without him, there’s no way they are sitting at a 4-1 record. Maye has 1,594 passing yards, 19 passing touchdowns, and just one interception. He also has a 70% completion percentage. His best game up to this point in the season was just last week against Virginia Tech where he passed for 363 yards and three touchdowns.
The Miami pass defense has not been great and is giving up an average of 251 yards through the air a game. The worst game was most recently against Middle Tennessee State where they gave up 408 passing yards. Drake Maye is the key for the Tar Heel offense, so the Hurricanes need to try and do something to contain him.
Tyler Van Dyke vs the Tar Heel Secondary
Tyler Van Dyke has had a bit of a disappointing season so far. He was benched in the Hurricanes last game they played against Middle Tennessee State due to poor play. He has 809 passing yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions. He also has a 59% completion percentage. His best game was against Southern Miss where he had 261 passing yards and one touchdown.
The Tar Heel secondary has not been great this year, the most they have given up was 361 passing yards to Appalachian State. The Tar Heel secondary needs to confuse Tyler Van Dyke because they are going to get picked on in this game.
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