Frisco Football Classic: North Texas vs Miami (OH)
The Miami RedHawks of Oxford Ohio get set to take on the North Texas Mean Green in the Frisco Football classic on Thursday December 23rd at 3:30 PM ET in Frisco, TX. The RedHawks enter the game coming off a 6-6 regular season and a second place finish in the MAC conference. The Mean Green also come into this off a 6-6 regular season and a third place finish in Conference USA. In a game that will see one of the country’s most dominant run offenses go up against the MAC’s best passing offense, it’ll be interesting to see what style of play will prevail. The RedHawks are favored by 3 and the over/under is 55. The moneyline is currently +120 for North Texas and -143 for Miami (OH).
North Texas vs Miami (OH) Betting Odds
North Texas vs Miami(OH) Betting Trends
Mean Green are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall
Mean Green are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win
Mean Green are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 bowl games
RedHawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games
RedHawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.
RedHawks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games
North Texas Mean Green Betting Odds
North Texas has the third best yards per game rushing offense in the country behind only Army and Air Force. Averaging over 246 yards a game on 4.85 yards per carry, the Mean Green are unapologetic in their style of play and will continue to lean into the rushing attack led by DeAndre Torrey to generate offense in this one.
Defensively, this North Texas team is ranked seventh in Conference USA in total yards allowed per game, giving up just over 378 yards an outing. Ironically, they are slightly better at defending the pass than the run and give up just shy of 28 points a game in a defensive minded conference.
They ended the season winning their last 5 games, and beat the only ranked team they faced this year — the UTSA roadrunners — by 22 points in the final game of the season.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Odds
This Miami offense is defined by their passing attack led by quarterback Brett Gabbert and receivers Jack Sorenson and Mac Hippenhammer. They lead the MAC in passing yards per game at 282.6 yards a game on 15.5 yards a completion. Between Gabbert and backup quarterback AJ Mayer, they’ve thrown 30 touchdowns and 8 interceptions.
Defensively, this Miami team is third in the MAC in yards per game allowing 372.8 yards a Saturday. They’re sixth in the conference in defending the run and third in defending the rush. This ability to defend the running game is going to prove important against a North Texas team that is going to try to run it down their throat from start to finish.
Three of Miami’s six losses this season have been by three points or less, including their final game of the season against Kent State in which they missed a two point conversion in overtime for the win. The best team the Redhawks played this year was Cincinnati in the first game of the season, a game they lost 49-14.
North Texas vs Miami (OH) Picks & Prediction
This game features two diametrically opposed offensive styles with two defenses that match up fairly well with the opposing offense. North Texas is great at running the ball, Miami is decent at stopping the run. Miami is great at throwing the ball, North Texas is decent at stopping the pass. Both offenses are better than either defense, so expect this to be a high scoring game that sees both teams able to move the ball with relative ease. North Texas comes into this game as the hotter team, winning 5 straight after starting just 1-6. Their defense seems to have picked up some steam, holding each of their last 5 opponents under 27 points. No team does one thing better in this game than North Texas runs the ball, and for this reason, along with each of the aforementioned, I like them to win and cover.
My Pick: North Texas wins and covers 29-27, under hits (u 55)