Denver Nuggets vs. Brooklyn Nets NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (12/22/23)

The Denver Nuggets face the Brooklyn Nets this Friday (12/22/23). Get Nuggets vs. Nets player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Denver Nuggets vs. Brooklyn Nets Player Prop Picks

Which players will thrive in the Nuggets vs. Nets game?

Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists (+100 BMGM)

Nikola Jokic is in the midst of an assist slump at the moment, as he has reached eight assists in only three of his past seven games. However, Jokic averaged 15.4 potential assists per game over that stretch, which is larger than his season average (via NBA.com). Essentially, Denver ranking 15th in effective field goal percentage across the past seven games is to blame for Jokic’s numbers, not his playmaking volume. Given the matchup, look for Denver’s shooters to recapture their rhythm and convert Jokic’s potential assists into actual assists. 

Brooklyn’s defense is giving up the fifth most open plus wide open three-point attempts per 100 possessions. Jamal Murray, Reggie Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr, Justin Holiday, and Christian Braun are all shooting above 38 percent from deep, so the Nuggets can definitely capitalize. In addition, Brooklyn is allowing the eighth largest cut frequency, and Denver’s offense ranks second in cut frequency. 

Finally, Nic Claxton remains one of the better defenders in the league, and his length could bother Jokic. This nuisance combined with Denver’s likely open shooters and cutters predict a big passing night for Jokic, who has cleared ten assists in his past three matchups versus Claxton. 

For the bet to be profitable in the long run, Jokic must hit the over about 50 percent of the time.

Same Game Parlay: Jamal Murray 2+ 3PM & Michael Porter Jr 2+ 3PM (-149 FD)

As stated above, the Nets are surrendering the fifth most open plus wide open three-point attempts per 100 possessions. Opponents produce the ninth largest catch-and-shoot three-point frequency against them too (via ShotQuality). Meanwhile, they allow the fourth lowest finishing at the rim frequency. 

In terms of positional stats, the Nets are giving up the most threes per game to point guards and the seventh most to small forwards. 

Jamal Murray has hit two threes in 11 of 15 games, including in 6 of his last 7 matchups against Brooklyn. On the other hand, Michael Porter Jr has made two threes in 24 of 29 games this season, as well as in 3 of 4 career matchups versus the Nets where he saw at least five minutes. 

This same game parlay needs to hit about 60 percent of the time for the bet to be profitable in the long run. 

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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