Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Semifinals Game 5

The Denver Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites heading into Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena on Tuesday, starting at 10:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The series is tied 2-2.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, May 14, 2024
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT and truTV
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Venue: Ball Arena

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 111 – Timberwolves 110

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Spread & Total Prediction for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (206.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 221.0
  • The Timberwolves sport a 41-41-0 ATS record this season compared to the 39-43-0 mark from the Nuggets.
  • Denver (26-29) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 4.5 points or more this season (47.3%) than Minnesota (4-5) does as a 4.5+-point underdog (44.4%).
  • When it comes to exceeding the total in 2023-24, Denver does it less often (45.1% of the time) than Minnesota (50%).
  • As a moneyline underdog this year, the Timberwolves are 10-11, while the Nuggets are 52-19 as moneyline favorites.

Nuggets Performance Insights

  • The Nuggets are averaging 114.9 points per game (14th-ranked in NBA) this season, while ceding 109.6 points per contest (sixth-ranked).
  • Denver is grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 42.3 rebounds per contest (seventh-ranked).
  • The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are dishing out 29.5 per game (third-best in NBA).
  • Denver ranks fourth-best in the NBA with 11.8 turnovers per game. Conversely, it ranks fourth-worst in the league with 11.7 forced turnovers per contest.
  • The Nuggets rank 25th in the NBA with 11.7 three-pointers per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank ninth with a 37.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc.

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Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • On offense, the Timberwolves are the 18th-ranked team in the league (113 points per game). Defensively, they are best (106.5 points conceded per game).
  • Minnesota is 15th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43.6) and fourth-best in rebounds allowed (41.4).
  • This season the Timberwolves are ranked 15th in the NBA in assists at 26.6 per game.
  • In 2023-24, Minnesota is 19th in the league in turnovers committed (13.4 per game) and fifth-best in turnovers forced (13.6).
  • In 2023-24 the Timberwolves are 15th in the league in 3-point makes (12.6 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.7%).
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