Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Semifinals Game 7

By Lineups Staff | Aug 23, 2024, 7:13am

The Denver Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena on Sunday, starting at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The series is tied 3-3.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Info & Odds

Date: Sunday, May 19, 2024
Time: 8:00 PM ET
How to Watch on TV: TNT
Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
Location: Denver, Colorado
Venue: Ball Arena

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Score Prediction

Prediction:
Nuggets 111 – Timberwolves 110

Spread & Total Prediction for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 4.5)
Computer Predicted Spread: Nuggets (-1.0)
Pick OU:
Over (198.5)
Computer Predicted Total: 220.5

The Timberwolves’ .500 ATS win percentage (41-41-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Nuggets’ .476 mark (39-43-0 ATS Record) in 2023-24.
Denver covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 47.3% of the time. That’s more often than Minnesota covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (44.4%).
When it comes to eclipsing the total in 2023-24, Denver does it less often (45.1% of the time) than Minnesota (50%).
As a moneyline favorite this season, the Nuggets are 52-19, while the Timberwolves are 10-11 as moneyline underdogs.

Nuggets Performance Insights

Offensively, the Nuggets are putting up 114.9 points per game (14th-ranked in league). They are ceding 109.6 points per contest at the other end (sixth-ranked).
Denver is pulling down 44.4 rebounds per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 42.3 rebounds per contest (seventh-ranked).
The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are dishing out 29.5 per game (third-best in NBA).
Although Denver is forcing 11.7 turnovers per game (fourth-worst in NBA), it ranks fourth-best in the league by averaging only 11.8 turnovers per game.
The Nuggets rank 25th in the NBA with 11.7 three-pointers per game so far this year. Meanwhile, they rank ninth with a 37.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc.

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Timberwolves Performance Insights

Offensively, the Timberwolves are the 18th-ranked team in the league (113 points per game). On defense, they are best (106.5 points allowed per game).
Minnesota is 15th in the league in rebounds per game (43.6) and fourth-best in rebounds allowed (41.4).
The Timberwolves are 15th in the league in assists (26.6 per game) in 2023-24.
Minnesota is 19th in the NBA in turnovers per game (13.4) and fifth-best in turnovers forced (13.6).
In 2023-24 the Timberwolves are 15th in the league in 3-point makes (12.6 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.7%).