Steph Curry and Nikola Jokic face off in a matchup that features two former regular season MVPs (and the past two NBA Finals MVPs.) Check out our Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors player prop picks below!
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Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors Player Prop Picks
Our best Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors player prop picks for this Western Conference matchup are Nikola Jokic to record 12 or more rebounds at -200 odds and Trayce Jackson-Davis to score ten or more points at -145 odds.
Nikola Jokic To Record 12+ Rebounds (-200)
Value is value. With an implied probability of 67%, Jokic would need to hit the Over on this number (12) in just a bit more than two out of every three games that he plays against the Warriors to be profitable.
Jokic has recorded 12 or more rebounds in eight consecutive games against Golden State and in 12 of his past 13. A large portion of the “Joker’s” success against the Warriors can be attributed to Golden State’s lack of frontcourt talent and depth.
For most of these games, the Warriors even had Draymond Green, who is widely regarded as one of the best interior defenders ever. Golden State will be forced to rely upon foul-prone Kevon Looney and rookie Trayce Jackson-Davis to keep Jokic off the glass.
In the Warriors’ past ten games, they have allowed the ninth-most offensive rebounds per game to opponents. Golden State is a decent rebounding team, but Jokic has such an advantage, especially with Green still out. Expect him to crush this number.
Trayce Jackson-Davis Over 9.5 Points (-145)
Trayce Jackson-Davis has been terrific for the Golden State Warriors in the absence of Draymond Green. As a matter of fact, he seems to have taken over the starting center position from Kevon Looney. TJD has logged two consecutive starts for the Dubs.
Jackson-Davis has been one of the most NBA-ready rookies. Look no further than his scoring and rebounding outputs recently; he has scored ten or more points in seven of his past eight games, and in the sole game that he came up short of this line (eight points), TJD played fewer than 15 minutes.
In all of his other games in that stretch, he has played between 17 and 29 minutes. With Jackson-Davis’ recent performance, we expect him to continue seeing 20+ minutes, which will be well-aligned with our bet that he will score ten or more points. For one, the Nuggets don’t have a rim protector.
Jokic will be deployed on TJD, and Jackson-Davis is somewhat of a high-flying center, capable of putting down lobs or, occasionally, dunking on opponents. Jokic could have a bit of trouble defending him, particularly in the pick-and-roll, which the Warriors will run a lot of with Curry and Jackson-Davis.
If TJD can stay out of foul trouble, he should log quite a few minutes against Denver. He is also expected to continue to log starts for the Dubs, which will be highly beneficial for this bet.