College football games don’t get much bigger than this one. No 2 Ohio State visits No. 3 Michigan for The Game, with both teams undefeated and looking for a spot in the College Football Playoff. With teams like these squaring off in one of the sport’s biggest rivalries, just checking out the game lines is not enough. Let’s dig into a same game parlay, where we’ll drill down to some player performances.
Ohio State vs. Michigan Same Game Parlay Picks
With five legs and +796 total odds, this parlay has the ability to deliver a ton of value while staying relatively conservative with each individual leg. These defenses are great, but there will be offensive contributions, and the perceived defense-first nature of this matchup has provided us with some great prices. Let’s dive right in!
Leg 1: Michigan Moneyline (-162)
This one is at the core of our parlay, and many of the rest of our legs build on concepts applied to this one. The Wolverines are favored for a reason. The spread of more than a field goal is a bit of a risk in a game like this, but we should feel pretty confident in their ability to survive this game at home, even without Jim Harbaugh.
Michigan won this game last year, in Ohio, without Blake Corum, by a margin of 22 points. They’ve returned much of the roster, rehabbed Corum from injury, and are now playing at home against an Ohio State team that lost star quarterback C.J. Stroud. The Wolverines’ defense has remained one of the best in the country, and despite his recent hiccups on the road, quarterback J.J. McCarthy has taken an enormous step up.
Michigan should be able to isolate star wideout Marvin Harrison Jr. and force him to try and secure the win on his own. He’s a phenomenal talent who has the ability to do so on some days, just not this one. Once again, the trenches will belong to Michigan, as will a third-consecutive victory in the nation’s biggest rivalry.
Leg 2: Cornelius Johnson 25+ Receiving Yards (-194)
Cornelius Johnson was one of the biggest stars in last year’s upset win in Columbus. He caught four passes for 160 yards and two scores. While he won’t achieve quite to that level again, he’s going to be a key player in this game.
Johnson has taken a back seat to top wideout Roman Wilson this year, but the breakout star left the Maryland game with an injury and his status is not entirely clear. He’s expected to play against OSU, but it’s hard to know how close he will be to 100%. If Wilson is out or limited, Johnson immediately becomes the top target once again, and barring a Penn State situation where Michigan barely throws, this number would become an incredibly low bar.
Even with Wilson at his best, Johnson has cleared this number in two of his last four games. He had exactly 24 yards in the previous two. Given the slightest bit of positive regression, he’ll top it again on Saturday.
Leg 3: Cade Stover 25+ Receiving Yards (-280)
You’d have to believe that Michigan’s excellent secondary will be paying very close attention to superstar Marvin Harrison Jr. in this game. He’ll probably be going to work against star cornerback Will Johnson, one of the better individual battles you’ll see this season anywhere in the country.
With Michigan’s top resources devoted to Harrison on the outside, there will be opportunities available over the middle for Stover, OSU’s second-leading receiver. He’s averaging 53.4 yards per game this year, and while Michigan is a better defense than he’s seen yet, OSU will also likely be more pass-heavy than usual. The Buckeyes won’t likely own a big lead, and the Michigan run defense will stifle the OSU ground game.
Stover has been over this number in eight of his ten games so far; the only two times he’s missed, he did not record a single catch. Other than OSU’s most recent game, against Minnesota, he’s accumulated over 50 yards in any game in which he’s had any at all. With a heavy dose of the pass on tap for the Buckeyes, expect stover to crack this modest number.
Leg 4: Blake Corum Anytime Touchdown (-220)
This one is incredibly simple. If Michigan does in fact win, which we need for this parlay to hit, they aren’t likely to do so without a Corum touchdown. He easily leads the nation with 20 rushing touchdowns, the vast majority of the 25 scored by Michigan’s running backs, and is Michigan’s definitive go-to on the goal line.
Corum has scored at least once in every game this season, and multiple times in seven contests. If he’s kept out of the end zone, it most likely means the team was altogether. This is a phenomenal Ohio State defense, but it’s hard to project that kind of an outing for them in Ann Arbor.
Leg 5: Maserati Marv Anytime Touchdown (-115)
Lastly, we have another absolute superstar, Marvin Harrison Jr., a wideout so phenomenal that he is receiving levels of Heisman buzz that are rare for the position. Harrison is the definitive engine of the OSU offense, much as Corum is for Michigan. His 13 touchdowns aren’t as ridiculous proportionally to team production, as OSU passers have thrown for 24 scores, but they still make up a tremendous percentage of the team’s scoring output, a deserved indicator of his importance.
Harrison hasn’t quite scored in every game like Corum, but he does have a seven-game touchdown streak. He’s scored in a total of nine out of OSU’s 11 games so far, and if the Buckeyes are going to be remotely competitive in this enormous matchup, you’d imagine that this would have to be the tenth game in which he finds the end zone.
Same Game Parlay Card For Away Team Vs. Home Team
Full parlay odds: +796
- Michigan Moneyline (-162)
- Cornelius Johnson 25+ Receiving Yards (-194)
- Cade Stover 25+ Receiving Yards (-280)
- Blake Corum Anytime Touchdown (-220)
- Marvin Harrison Jr. Anytime Touchdown (-115)