Oklahoma State vs Baylor Odds, Picks, Predictions (10/1/22)

Oklahoma State visits Baylor in Waco, this weekend after having a bye last week. Baylor, on the other hand, is coming off a narrow win against Iowa State this past weekend. These two teams last met in the Big 12 Championship game last year when Baylor barely beat Oklahoma State, after stopping them on the goal line. This figures to be another great matchup between the two teams. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor Odds

Baylor is a 2.5-point point favorite in this game, and is also at -135 on the money line. The over/under is at 57 too. Baylor being favored by that margin says the biggest reason why Baylor is a favorite here is because they are at home. Oddsmakers clearly think that this game is going to be very close, especially after their last meeting. The total also makes sense because Oklahoma State has a very good offense, and Baylor’s isn’t as good statistically, but it’s still very efficient. Be on the look out for this spread because there’s a chance it could swing the other way to the Oklahoma State being favored.

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor Prediction & Pick

The pick: Oklahoma State +2.5

The Cowboys are going to want revenge after the way they lost to the Bears in their last meeting. That Big 12 Championship game was a heartbreaking loss, and is something that still stings for the Cowboys because they could’ve gone to the College Football Playoff if they won. Oklahoma State has been very consistent so far this year, especially on offense. The offense averages 511 yards and 52 points a game, and seems like it will cause a lot of issues for Baylor. The Oklahoma State defense seems like it finally found its footing, and coming off a bye it should help a lot too. The Bears have had their fair share of success on offense by averaging 41 points a game, but their bread and butter is on defense. They have allowed 305 total yards and 17 points a game on defense. The Bears are also the home team, which will play a factor here, like it does all over college football. This will be a very good game regardless of who wins. However, take the Cowboys here with the points and consider the money line, because it’s a revenge spot, they are off a bye, and I trust their offense the most of anything in this game.

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor Key Matchups

Can the Baylor passing defense cause issues for Spencer Sanders again? Will Richard Reese be able to breakthrough against Oklahoma State?

Spencer Sanders vs the Baylor Passing Defense

Spencer Sanders was inconsistent last year. One game he’d look amazing, and the next he wouldn’t and would sometimes be a liability. So far, Sanders has been very good this year. He has 916 passing yards on the year, while also having 10 touchdown passes to just one interception. He also has a 65% completion percentage on the year so far. Baylor’s defense has been a bright spot this year, and through the air the most yards they have allowed was last week against Iowa State when they allowed 284 passing yards. Sanders has been on a hot streak to start the year, but if any defense can contain him, it’s Baylor. We saw it last time they played, where Sanders threw three interceptions. This matchup will decide the game for Oklahoma State because they are very reliant on Sanders’ to score points.

Richard Reese vs the Oklahoma State Rushing Defense

Baylor’s offense is based around their run game, and Richard Reese is their lead back. Reese has 55 carries, 315 rushing yards, and six rushing touchdowns. The Bears are averaging 207 rushing yards a game overall too, and Reese is a focal point for that offense. The Cowboys have been okay against the run, with the most rushing yards they’ve given up being to Arizona State at 131 rushing yards. This matchup is key for the Bears because if they can establish the run then Baylor will be in a good position in this game.