Predictions for Orioles vs. Braves: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 13

Thursday’s contest at Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the Baltimore Orioles (45-22) matching up with the Atlanta Braves (35-30) at 1:05 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 4-3 win for the Orioles, who are a small favorite based on our model.

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Orioles vs. Braves Matchup Info

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Orioles vs. Braves Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 4, Braves 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Orioles vs. Braves Betting Lines

Orioles vs Braves Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Orioles -115 -105 9 -120 +100

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has come away with 37 wins in the 54 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Orioles have come away with a win 36 times in 53 chances when named as a favorite of at least -115 or better on the moneyline.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of 66 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Orioles had a 10-2 record over the 12 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Baltimore combined with its opponents to hit the over on the total seven times.

Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has gone 1-5 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 16.7% of those games).
  • The Braves have a 1-2 record (winning just 33.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of -105 or longer.
  • Atlanta has had an over/under set by bookmakers 65 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 22 of those games (22-39-4).
  • In the past 15 games, the Braves have been underdogs twice and lost both contests.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Orioles vs. Braves Probable Pitchers

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Cole Irvin

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.87 and 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .256 in 12 games this season.
  • Cole Irvin’s team has a record of 5-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Irvin’s team has an 8-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Irvin have a 4-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Reynaldo López

  • Over 11 games this season, the 30-year-old has a 1.85 ERA and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .212 to opposing hitters.
  • The Braves have not been a moneyline underdog when Reynaldo Lopez starts this season.
  • López’s team is 7-4 over his 11 starts.
  • Lopez has had 11 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and two of those outings hit the over.

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Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-22
Home 23-12
Road 22-10
One-Run Games 6-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 32-3

Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 35-30
Home 19-12
Road 16-18
One-Run Games 6-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 23-5

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