Predictions for Orioles vs. Cubs: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11

Thursday’s contest between the Baltimore Orioles (57-35) and the Chicago Cubs (44-49) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards has a projected final score of 4-3 based on our computer prediction, with the Orioles taking home the win. First pitch is at 6:35 PM on July 11.

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Orioles vs. Cubs Matchup Info

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Orioles vs. Cubs Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 4, Cubs 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Orioles vs. Cubs Betting Lines

Orioles vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Orioles -130 +110 8.5 -112 -108

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has won 45, or 60.8%, of the 74 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Orioles have been victorious 37 times in 61 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of 91 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Orioles went 6-7 over the 13 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, Baltimore and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).

Cubs Betting Insights

  • Chicago has put together a 22-26 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.8% of those games).
  • The Cubs are 12-11 (winning 52.2% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
  • Chicago has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 93 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 39 of those games (39-49-5).
  • The Cubs have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Chicago and its opponents are 6-7-2 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Orioles vs. Cubs Probable Pitchers

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Albert Suarez

  • The 34-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with a 2.48 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .231.
  • Albert Suarez’s team has been victorious in 71.4% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-2.
  • Suarez’s team has a 7-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Suarez have a 2-8-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Justin Steele

  • The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.95, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 13 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .206 batting average against him.
  • The Cubs have a 1-3 record in Steele’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Steele’s team is 4-9 over his 13 starts.
  • Justin Steele has had 13 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and six of those matchups hit the over.

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Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 57-35
Home 29-19
Road 28-16
One-Run Games 10-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 39-6

Cubs’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 44-49
Home 25-21
Road 19-28
One-Run Games 14-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-7

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