Predictions for Orioles vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 10

Monday’s contest at Tropicana Field has the Baltimore Orioles (42-22) taking on the Tampa Bay Rays (31-34) at 6:50 PM ET (on June 10). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Orioles, so expect a tight matchup.

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Orioles vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Orioles vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Orioles vs. Rays Betting Lines

Orioles vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Orioles -143 +120 7 -112 -108

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has been victorious in 35, or 67.3%, of the 52 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Orioles have a win-loss record of 20-9 when favored by -143 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Contests involving Baltimore have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 63 chances this season.
  • The Orioles were favored on the moneyline for 13 of their past 15 games, and they went 11-2 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Baltimore combined with its opponents to go over the total eight times.

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has won 40% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (10-15).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Rays have a 1-5 record (winning just 16.7% of their games).
  • Tampa Bay has played in 65 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-31-0).
  • In seven games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Rays had a record of 1-6.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

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Orioles vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Corbin Burnes

  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.26 and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .205 in 13 games this season.
  • Corbin Burnes’ team has won 69.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-4).
  • Burnes’ team has won nine of his 13 starts this season.
  • Out of Burnes’ 13 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Ryan Pepiot

  • The 26-year-old has a 3.96 ERA and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings across 10 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .185 to his opponents.
  • The Rays were the underdog on the moneyline for one Ryan Pepiot start this season — they won.
  • Over Pepiot’s 10 starts, his team is 6-4.
  • Pepiot has had 10 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and five of those outings finished over the total.

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Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-22
Home 21-12
Road 21-10
One-Run Games 6-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-3

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 31-34
Home 17-21
Road 14-13
One-Run Games 12-4
Scoring 5+ Runs 19-5

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