Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (12/13/23)

The Indiana Pacers face the Milwaukee Bucks this Wednesday (12/13/23). Get Pacers vs. Bucks player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Player Prop Picks

Which players will dominate in the Pacers vs. Bucks game?

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 34.5 Points (-106 FD) & 40+ Points (+230 FD)

Indiana and Milwaukee both sit top five in pace, so possessions will be plentiful. The Pacers are allowing the most field goal attempts within eight feet of the basket per game. In fact, the gap between them and second most is roughly equal to the gap between second and seventeenth. They simply cannot stop downhill threats, especially in transition. 

Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the NBA in field goal attempts within eight feet of the basket at 13.8 per game. He owns a staggering 73.3 FG% on those shots! The “Greek Freak” also takes the second most free throw attempts per game across the league, and Indiana ranks dead last in opponent free throw attempt rate. Therefore, Antetokounmpo can easily inflate his scoring here by getting to the charity stripe. 

Over his past six matchups against Indiana, he has averaged 15.2 free throw attempts per game and a whopping 40.8 points per game. Antetokounmpo cleared 35 points in five of those six games, and the one miss was a 27-minute performance due to foul trouble. Overall, he should decimate the Pacers tonight. 

For the bets to be profitable in the long run, Antetokounmpo needs to score 35 points about 51 percent of the time and 40 points about 30 percent of the time. 

Haliburton 12+ Assists (-155 FD) & Over 13.5 Assists (+172 FD)

Haliburton assists are inevitable. On a per-game basis, he leads the NBA in assists and potential assists while ranking second in passes made and touches. He’s the ultimate high volume passer, and he has breached 15 assists in three of his last eight games. 

Milwaukee’s point-of-attack defense is putrid because Damian Lillard and Malik Beasley are both defensive liabilities. Opposing guards can shake them with ease, which forces Milwaukee’s defense to sag inside. As a result, the Bucks rank 26th defending the three-point line in terms of average opponent shot quality (per ShotQuality). 

Haliburton will be able to bypass Milwaukee’s first line of defense and constantly find success in a drive-and-kick role. Factor in his numerous transition opportunities, and the stars are aligned for Haliburton to thrive as a facilitator. 

He needs to hit 12 assists about 60 percent of the time and 14 assists about 36 percent of the time. 

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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