Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (12/7/23)

The Indiana Pacers face the Milwaukee Bucks this Thursday (12/7/23). Get Pacers vs. Bucks player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Player Prop Picks

Which players will dominate in the Pacers vs. Bucks In-Season Tournament matchup?

SGP: Giannis Antetokounmpo 30+ Points & 10+ Rebounds (-125 DK)

Indiana and Milwaukee both rank top five in pace, so all props will subsequently be inflated due to the extra number of possessions.  

The Pacers are easily surrendering the most field goal attempts per game within eight feet of the basket. The gap between them and second is roughly equal to the gap between second and nineteenth! Enter Giannis Antetokounmpo, who leads the NBA at 13.8 field goal attempts per game within eight feet of the basket. He’s an absolute terror in transition that cannot be stopped once he gets downhill. Antetokounmpo will absolutely abuse Indiana’s defense here; he dropped 54 points during their November 9th matchup on 19/25 from the field. 

Meanwhile, the Pacers have allowed the fourth largest offensive rebound rate and boost opponent rebounds due to pace. During their last matchup, Antetokounmpo grabbed 12 rebounds on an immense 21 rebound chances – this mark would lead the NBA. 

Overall, the “Greek Freak” is set for a monster performance during this In-Season Tournament contest. He needs to hit this same game parlay roughly 55.6 percent of the time for the bet to be profitable in the long run. 

Giannis Antetokounmpo First Basket (+380 FD)

Speaking of Antetokounmpo’s projected dominance, he’s an excellent first basket candidate here. Brook Lopez is heavily favored to win the tip-off over Myles Turner, thus likely granting Milwaukee the first shot. 

Antetokounmpo has been passive in terms of first basket usage to start the season, as he’s only taken Milwaukee’s first attempt in 15 percent of his starts. This Team First FGA% ranks fourth among the Bucks starters; however, his matchup is too tantalizing to be deterred by his lackluster volume. Indiana will struggle mightily to handle Antetokounmpo when he rolls, and he can spin his way into a layup too on post ups. In their previous November matchup, Antetokounmpo attempted the first shot of the game but missed. 

He needs to cash the first basket (which includes free throws) about 20.9 percent of the time. 

SGP: Tyrese Haliburton 25+ Points & 4+ 3PM (-149 FD)

Damian Lillard and Malik Beasley form one of the worst perimeter defensive duos in the NBA. As a result, the Bucks rank 21st in Defensive Rating and are surrendering the fifth most points per game to point guards. In addition, Milwaukee is 24th defending off-the-dribble threes and 22nd defending catch-and-shoot threes in terms of average opponent shot quality (per ShotQuality). 

Tyrese Haliburton is an absolute menace from deep; he owns a 44.7 3PT% on nearly nine attempts per game. The ascending superstar has recorded 25 points in nine of his last ten games and only played 25 minutes during the lone blemish. Like Antetokounmpo, he’s primed to explode. 

Halibuton must hit the same game parlay about 59.9 percent of the time. 

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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