Indiana Pacers vs. Los Angeles Lakers NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (12/9/23)

The Indiana Pacers battle the Los Angeles Lakers this Saturday (12/9/23) in the In-Season Tournament Championship. Get Pacers vs. Lakers player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Indiana Pacers vs. Los Angeles Lakers Player Prop Picks

Which players will thrive in the Pacers vs. Lakers In-Season Tournament matchup?

Anthony Davis Over 26.5 Points (-115 Bet365) & 30+ Points (+145 FD)

It’s a prime matchup for Anthony Davis. The Indiana Pacers are allowing the most field goal attempts per game within eight feet of the basket (via NBA.com). It’s not even close, as the gap between them and second most is comparable to the gap between second and twentieth. Indiana’s defense is also surrendering the second largest put-back frequency and third largest put-back points per possession. Therefore, it’s unsurprising that opposing centers average the second most points per game against them. 

Davis ranks third across the NBA in field goal attempts within eight feet of the basket and fourth in put-back field goal attempts per game. His offensive skill set can perfectly exploit the Pacers, who play at that fastest pace in the league – thus inflating scoring chances. Given that the In-Season Tournament championship is on the line, look for Davis to be more aggressive offensively than usual too. 

He has scored 27 points in 11 of 22 games this season, including four of his last five. Davis must notch 27 points about 53.5 percent of the time and 30 points about 40.9 percent of the time for the bets to have positive expected values. 

Same Game Parlay: Tyrese Haliburton 10+ Assists & 4+ 3PM (-146 FD)

With future Hall of Famer Chris Paul on his last legs, Tyrese Haliburton is now the rightful owner of the nickname “Point God”. Haliburton has recorded at least ten assists in 15 of 18 games, and he leads the NBA in potential assists per game. The rising superstar now ranks fifth all time in games with at least 15 assists and zero turnovers (again, he’s only 23-years-old). 

Los Angeles is 28th defending in transition based on average opponent shot quality (per ShotQuality), which is where Haliburton is an absolute maestro. He can rack up easy assists on the run, but Los Angeles’ defensive attention also plays into his hands in terms of finding open shooters. Consider the absurd pace, and it’s highly probable that Haliburton records ten assists. 

Meanwhile, he has made four threes in nine of 22 games, including six of his last nine. The Lakers are allowing the fourth most above the break three-point attempts. Haliburton averages 8.4 of these attempts per game (fourth most in NBA) and is shooting a ridiculous 44.1 3PT% there. With Anthony Davis patrolling the paint, look for Haliburton to frequently launch from deep and utilize the high screen for an off-the-dribble shot. 

This same game parlay needs to hit about 59.4 percent of the time for it to be profitable in the long run. Otherwise, the bet holds a negative expected value.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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