Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions NFL Player Props & Picks (11/23/23)

Get Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions player prop picks & odds for the (11/23/23) matchup.

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Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Player Prop Picks

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions kicks off this Thursday at 12:30pm EST in Detroit Michigan as a home game for the Lions. The Packers are currently a +7.5 underdog and +295 on the moneyline while the total is set at 47.5. Expect the Lions ground game to continue to thrive under Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery while Jordan Love and Jared Goff battle it out through the air, all giving value as player props for this Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions matchup.

David Montgomery Over 65.5 Rushing Yards

After rushing for 121 yards and three touchdowns on 32 carries against the Green Bay Packers defense in their earlier matchup, David Montgomery is in a position to once again succeed as the Lions bull back. Even with Gibbs eating away at Montgomery’s attempts as Gibbs carves out a role in this offense, Monty has had no issue with maximizing his carries by averaging nearly five yards per carry.

Better yet for the Lions rush attack, this game calls for a heavier dose of the run as it is on short notice as a Thanksgiving primetime game. This has been a common theme for primetime games, reverting offenses to a more conservative play style as they have less time to practice leading up to the game. The Lions are also pegged as a -7.5 favorite, meaning they may sit on the ball late with a sizable lead and run the clock out.

When the Lions do call the run, it should come with resounding success as the Packers front seven has mightily struggled so far this season. As of writing, the Packers rush defense ranks 20th or worse in Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards. Expect a healthy Lions offensive line to push the back with ease, creating high quality gaps for Montgomery to burst through and gain chunks at a time.

Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown

David Montgomery isn’t the only running back in a position to thrive as Jahmyr Gibbs has finally been given a chance to succeed in his recent hot stint. A welcoming revelation after a slow start to the year that saw his number of carries limited.


Granted his early low usage was to no fault of his own as the Lions opted into the idea of continuing to feed the hot handed Montgomery as he was putting together an impressive start to his year.

Even with Montgomery’s return, Gibbs has still played a major role in the offense as they now nearly split the same amount of carries. More intriguing yet, Gibbs has actually been heavily used in the red zone as their dual threat back. Markets still price Monty as the leading red zone back, giving slight value to Gibbs to punch one in.

Jared Goff Longest Completion Over 36.5 Yards

Even after three interceptions, with the potential for two more, Jared Goff continued to sling it as he mounted an impressive two score comeback with less than four minutes to play. That’s a testament to how lethal this pass attack is, fielding elite route runners who create separation across the middle and spread opposing secondaries thin in the process.

That doesn’t even include Jameson Williams who is one of the fastest receivers in the league and serves as the Lions downfield threat. When secondaries creep up in an effort to throw more coverage at Amon-Ra St Brown and Sam LaPorta, Williams gets the benefit of singular coverage and can burn past the best of them. With the Packers coverage ranking well below average, as well as a front four ranking 22nd in Adjusted Sack Rate, expect Goff to sit in a clean pocket and let plays develop for a potential big gain.

Jordan Love Over 233.5 Passing Yards

After a hot start to the season, the Lions defense have fallen hard back down to reality. That is in large part of their secondary, a weak back end who struggle in coverage and get routinely beat by opposing pass catchers. When the Lions front four is not generating pressure, opposing quarterbacks have had no issue picking apart this secondary as of late.

Factor in the Packers most likely playing from behind, as well as an improved level of play as of late, and Jordan Love should have no issue picking apart the gaps in coverage. Especially with their running back unit decimated by injury, forcing the Packers to rely heavier on the pass to ease AJ Dillons workload.

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Kody is a sports betting writer here at Lineups. He specializes in college sports as well as the NFL and NBA. He won’t quit believing in the Lions Super Bowl chances even when they are eliminated.

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