Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL First Touchdown: Expert Picks & Predictions (10/9/23)

The Green Bay Packers face the Las Vegas Raiders in Monday Night Football (10/9/23). Get Packers vs. Raiders First Touchdown best bets, as well as a player prop search tool to optimize odds shopping for Sunday night’s game.

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Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders First Touchdown Picks

The goal of the First Touchdown prop is to identify which players will score the first touchdown of the game. Who will score first in the Packers vs. Raiders game?

Christian Watson First TD (+1500 BMGM) & Anytime TD (+230 FD)

Entering this week, the Raiders gave up the fifth most passing touchdowns, ranked 27th in percentage of opponent drives ending in an offensive score, and was 30th in opponent dropback expected points added per play. Essentially, Las Vegas’ secondary is a below average unit that is susceptible to deep shots. 

Watson dazzled as a rookie last year to the tune of seven touchdowns in eleven starts. At 6’4” with a 4.36 40-yard dash and 38.5 inch vertical, he’s a complete mismatch against the vast majority of cornerbacks. Now that Watson is fully healthy, he should be Jordan Love’s top option, especially since Love routinely throws deep balls downfield. 

The odds are incredible here. At +1500, he only needs to score the first touchdown about six percent of the time. His anytime touchdown odds are also too good to pass up.

Jakobi Meyers First TD (+1300 FD) 

Davante Adams is expected to suit up, but the star receiver will be diminished due to a nasty shoulder injury that kept him out of practice all week. Meyers is the clear second option, and quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo loves to target his top options instead of spreading the ball around. Meyers already has six red zone targets in three games, so his number of opportunities has been tantalizing . With all of the attention focused on stopping Adams and Jacobs, Meyers can routinely expose cornerbacks on an island. 

He must score the first touchdown about seven percent of the time for the bet to have a positive expected value.

Josh Jacobs First Raiders TD (+225 BMGM)

Green Bay’s run defense is weaker than their secondary. The Packers have allowed the tenth most yards and eighth most touchdowns to running backs despite playing one less game. They rank 21st in PFF’s run defense grade and 29th in opponent rush expected points added per play too. Jacobs hasn’t been particularly efficient this season, but it’s an excellent bounce back matchup here for the 2022 scrimmage yards league leader. 

He needs to score Las Vegas’ first touchdown about 30 percent of the time.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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