Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 6

Saturday’s game features the San Diego Padres (49-43) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (43-45) clashing at PETCO Park in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Padres according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET on July 6.

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Info

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Padres -170 +142 8 -110 -110

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Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has won 27, or 52.9%, of the 51 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Padres have come away with a win seven times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -170 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of 92 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Padres played as the moneyline favorite in six of their past 15 games, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, San Diego and its opponents combined to go over the run total 11 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • Arizona has won 19 of the 46 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (41.3%).
  • The Diamondbacks are 2-7 (winning just 22.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +142 or longer.
  • Arizona has played in 88 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-41-3).
  • In 10 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Diamondbacks had a record of 5-5.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Arizona and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Matt Waldron

  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with a 3.56 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .232.
  • Matt Waldron’s team has a record of 5-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • In games Waldron has started, his team is 7-10.
  • In games Waldron has started this season, the teams are 4-12-1 at hitting the over.

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt

  • In 17 games this season, the 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.28, with 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .240 against him.
  • The Diamondbacks have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Pfaadt’s starts this season, and they went 3-5 in those games.
  • In Pfaadt’s 17 starts, his team is 8-9.
  • Pfaadt’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in eight of 17 contests.

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Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-43
Home 25-22
Road 24-21
One-Run Games 10-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 38-4

Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 43-45
Home 22-21
Road 21-24
One-Run Games 13-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 33-9

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