Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 7

Sunday’s contest between the San Diego Padres (49-44) and Arizona Diamondbacks (44-45) going head to head at PETCO Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Padres, so expect a tight matchup. The game will begin at 4:10 PM ET on July 7.

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Info

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Padres -130 +110 7.5 -110 -110

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Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has come away with 27 wins in the 52 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Padres have a win-loss record of 20-17 when favored by -130 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 50 of 93 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Padres were the moneyline favorite for seven of their past 15 games, and they finished 4-3 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — San Diego and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total 12 times.

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • Arizona has been the moneyline underdog 47 total times this season. It has finished 20-27 in those games.
  • The Diamondbacks are 9-17 (winning only 34.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
  • In the 89 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Arizona, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-41-3).
  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in 11 of their past 15 games and won six of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Arizona and its opponents are 10-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.24 and 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .218 in 18 games this season.
  • When Dylan Cease starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-7.
  • Cease’s team has won 10 of his 18 starts.
  • Out of Cease’s 18 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson

  • In 15 games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 5.42, with 6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .313 against him.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 2-8 record in Nelson’s 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • In Nelson’s 13 starts, his team is 5-8.
  • Ryne Nelson has had 13 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those matchups.

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Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-44
Home 25-23
Road 24-21
One-Run Games 10-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 38-5

Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 44-45
Home 22-21
Road 22-24
One-Run Games 13-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-9

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