Predictions for Mariners vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 9

Tuesday’s contest features the San Diego Padres (49-45) and the Seattle Mariners (49-43) squaring off at PETCO Park in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 4-3 victory for the Padres according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET on July 9.

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Mariners vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Mariners vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Padres 4, Mariners 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Mariners vs. Padres Betting Lines

Mariners vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mariners -135 +114 8 -108 -112

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Mariners Betting Insights

  • Seattle has come away with 33 wins in the 55 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Mariners have come away with a win 23 times in 36 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over in 38 of 92 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Mariners had a 4-6 record over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Seattle and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has won 22 of the 41 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (53.7%).
  • The Padres are 9-8 (winning 52.9% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
  • San Diego has played in 94 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 51 times (51-42-1).
  • In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Padres have a record of 7-1.
  • San Diego and its opponents have combined to hit the over 12 times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mariners vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert

  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 2.91, a 4.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .918.
  • Logan Gilbert’s team has won 53.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-6).
  • Gilbert’s team is 10-8 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Gilbert’s 18 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert

  • Gilbert and his team were moneyline underdogs every time he pitched a season ago.

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Mariners’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-43
Home 30-18
Road 19-25
One-Run Games 19-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-2

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-45
Home 25-24
Road 24-21
One-Run Games 10-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 38-5

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