Predictions for Mets vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 14

Friday’s contest between the New York Mets (30-37) and the San Diego Padres (37-35) at Citi Field should be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Mets securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on June 14.

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Mets vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Mets vs. Padres Betting Lines

Mets vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
PUSH -110 -110 7.5 -105 -115

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been chosen as the favorite in 33 games this year, and has walked away with the win 17 times (51.5%) in those games.
  • The Mets have a win-loss record of 17-17 when favored by -110 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of 67 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mets had a 5-2 record over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has been the moneyline underdog 28 total times this season. It has finished 14-14 in those games.
  • The Padres have a 14-14 record (winning 50% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -110 or longer.
  • San Diego has combined with opponents to go over the total 36 times this season for a 36-35-1 record against the over/under.
  • In three games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Padres had a record of 1-2.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 7-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Mets vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea

  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 4.30 and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .246 in 12 games this season.
  • Sean Manaea’s team has a record of 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Manaea’s team has won seven of his 12 starts this season.
  • Games Manaea has started this season hit the over six times in 12 chances.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Matt Waldron

  • In 13 games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.76, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .239 against him.
  • The Padres have been the moneyline underdog in five of Waldron’s starts this season, and they went 1-4 in those games.
  • Waldron’s team has put together a 5-8 record in his 13 starts.
  • Waldron’s starts went over the run total three times in 13 games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 30-37
Home 15-23
Road 15-14
One-Run Games 14-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 18-11

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-35
Home 18-21
Road 19-14
One-Run Games 8-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-3

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