Predictions for Padres vs. Royals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – May 31

Friday’s game at Kauffman Stadium has the Kansas City Royals (35-23) going head-to-head against the San Diego Padres (30-29) at 8:10 PM (on May 31). Our computer prediction projects a 5-4 win for the Royals, who is slightly favored by our model.

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Padres vs. Royals Matchup Info

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Padres vs. Royals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Royals 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Padres vs. Royals Betting Lines

Padres vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Padres -135 +114 7.5 -115 -105

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Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has been the favorite in 34 games this season, and has come away with the win 17 times (50%) in those contests.
  • The Padres have a mark of 11-10 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -135 or better on the moneyline.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 30 of 59 opportunities.
  • The Padres went 4-5 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, San Diego and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).

Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has been the underdog on the moneyline 34 total times this season. It has gone 18-16 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Royals have a 4-8 record (winning just 33.3% of their games).
  • Kansas City has played in 58 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 24 times (24-32-2).
  • The Royals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Padres vs. Royals Probable Pitchers

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with a 3.29 ERA and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .184.
  • Dylan Cease’s team has been victorious in 55.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-4.
  • In games Cease has started, his team is 6-5.
  • In Cease’s 11 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Michael Wacha

  • The 32-year-old has amassed a 4.31 ERA and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings across 11 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .253 to opposing batters.
  • The Royals have a 2-4 record in Wacha’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Wacha’s team has compiled a 5-6 record over his 11 starts.
  • Wacha’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of 11 games.

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Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 30-29
Home 13-19
Road 17-10
One-Run Games 6-6
Scoring 5+ Runs 21-3

Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 35-23
Home 21-8
Road 14-15
One-Run Games 7-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 21-6

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