Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat 5/10/22: Starting Lineups, Matchup Preview, Betting Odds, Live Stream

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat Matchup Preview (5/10/22)

The Philadelphia 76ers (2-2) face the Miami Heat (2-2) in Game 5 on Tuesday night after tying the series through a 116-108 win in Game 4. Although the 76ers attempted 14 less shots than the Heat, they were far more efficient with a 54.4 FG% and 48.5 3PT%. James Harden finally turned in a fantastic performance, as he had 31 points, 7 rebounds, and 9 assists on 6/10 from three. He dropped 16 points in the 4th quarter and led the 76ers to a win. Despite dealing with serious injuries, Joel Embiid had 24 points and 11 rebounds on 7/13 from the field. Maxey and Harris took secondary roles on offense, and they managed a combined 31 points on 11/20 shooting. Danny Green knocked down 3 threes on the way towards 11 points, while Georges Niang went 2/5 from deep off the bench. Philadelphia now carries the momentum heading into a crucial Game 5. 

Miami will look to bounce back in Game 5 after blowing a 2-0 series lead. Jimmy Butler was phenomenal on both ends of the court. He finished with 40 points, 6 assists, 2 steals, and 2 blocks on 13/20 shooting. Bam Adebayo added 21 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists on an efficient 9/12 from the field. However, the Heat were not able to get much production outside of their stars. The other starters – Lowry, Tucker, and Strus – combined for 19 points on 3/15 from three. Herro had 11 points and 10 rebounds off the bench, but he shot a 33.3 FG% and 20 3PT%. Oladipo chipped in 15 points, yet it was also through a 33.3 FG% and 20 3PT%. If Miami cannot get production outside of Jimmy and Bam, then they will not be able to compete with this talented 76ers team. Kyle Lowry is out for this game, so Gabe Vincent will start in his place. Miami has enough depth to still have a good bench back-court though. 

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat Betting Odds

The spread for Game 5 is -3 Heat, and I like the Heat to cover here. They play much better at home because FTX Arena is one of the most electric ones in the NBA. I also don’t think they will continue their three-point shooting slump from Games 3 and 4. Herro is going to be more efficient, and I am skeptical that Harden will play as well as he did in Game 4. This game will be close, but Miami is going to win by 8-10 points. The over under is set at 209.5 total points. I expect the over to hit here because I believe in Miami’s offense this game. They are going to get hot from deep and rain threes on the 76ers.

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TV Schedule

Date: 5/10/22
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Arena: FTX Arena – Miami, FL
Channel: TNT

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Philadelphia 76ers Starting Lineup

PG: James Harden
SG: Tyrese Maxey
SF: Danny Green
PF: Tobias Harris
C: Joel Embiid

Philadelphia 76ers Analysis

Game 4 James Harden was the player Daryl Morey envisioned when he acquired him at the trade deadline. Harden aggressively pursued his own shot and showed the capacity to carry the offense. He was finally clicking from deep and hit some of his signature step-back threes. The burden was lifted off of Embiid’s shoulders because of this, and Maxey was able to let the game come to him instead of forcing it. Philadelphia must be ready to quickly pivot away from Harden’s scoring though because he is known for being extremely volatile in the playoffs. If Harden’s shot fails him in Game 5, then Maxey should cut into Harden’s shot attempts. 

Embiid’s interior production has balanced the offense, but his defense has been more important to the 76ers success. DeAndre Jordan, Paul Reed, and Charles Bassey were providing zero rim protection, so the Heat were getting everything at the rim in the first two games. Embiid’s towering presence deters Miami from driving and encourages them to live or die by the three. Even if he is struggling with his shot, he will significantly impact the game.  

Miami Heat Starting Lineup

PG: Gabe Vincent
SG: Max Strus
SF: Jimmy Butler
PF: P.J. Tucker
C: Bam Adebayo

Miami Heat Analysis

In the last two games, Miami is 14/65 (21.5%) from deep. They are at a terrible 28.5% for the series after leading the regular season at 37.9%. In the first two games of the series, Miami averaged 16 Corner 3PA and 16 Above the Break 3PA. However, that has changed to 4.5 Corner 3PA and 28 Above the Break 3PA the past two games, which were both losses. The Heat need to stop forcing shots and allow ball movement to generate good looks. With Embiid guarding the paint, shot quality is now more important than ever since they cannot count on easy attempts inside. 

Kyle Lowry is dealing with a hamstring issue, but he looks like a shell of himself. For the playoffs, he is averaging 6.2 PPG and 5.2 APG on a 29.7 FG% and 20.8 3PT%. His burst is gone, and Lowry is not the defender he once was. Miami may benefit from starting Gabe Vincent while pushing Lowry to the bench when he returns. He wouldn’t have a huge offensive burden since Herro will control the ball. It’s clear that the Heat’s offense functions better without Lowry running the show. At this stage of his career, he should be deployed as a weapon against opposing benches, which is where he has the talent advantage.

Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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