Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants NFL Player Props & Picks (1/7/24)
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants Player Prop Picks
The New York Giants (5-11) and the Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) square off Sunday (1/7/24) at 4:25 p.m. EST in their regular-season finales. Betting odds for this game are complicated by uncertainty over who will play in the game and what the weather will be, but there are still some winning player prop bets out there.
This article analyzes the betting odds for player prop bets in this game and recommends the best Eagles vs. Giants player prop bets.
Saquon Barkley over 62.5 rushing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
At the time of this writing on Saturday afternoon, options are extremely limited for player prop bets in this game. There are no player prop bets available for Eagles players except for an anytime touchdown, mainly because many of the Eagles’ usual starters are unlikely to play the entire game.
Unless the Cowboys shockingly lose to the Commanders, this game will mean nothing for the Eagles. If the Cowboys do somehow lose, then the Eagles can win the NFC East and move from the No. 5 seed up to the No. 2 seed with a win. Since that is at least possible, and because they have not been playing well and could benefit from building some momentum before the playoffs begin, the Eagles are likely to play their starters at least early in this game.
However, they will also be watching the score in the Cowboys game, and if that game gets out of hand then the Eagles may choose to pull their starters sometime in the second half of this game. They would not only want to give their most important players some extra rest but also protect them from potential injury on a field at MetLife Stadium that is notorious for causing injuries. That becomes even more important considering this game is expected to be played in very bad weather.
Because of those factors, we have to focus on Giants players for our player prop betting picks, and our favorite pick on the board is the over on Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards. We cashed this bet easily at a lower number (53.5) two weeks ago when these teams played on Christmas Day, and we are doubling down on it.
The Eagles had one of the best run defenses in the league for the first half of the season, but they have regressed dramatically over their last seven games since their bye week. Before their bye in week 10, the Eagles were leading the league in total run defense and run defense DVOA. Now they are 11th and 19th, respectively, in those categories.
Since Week 12, the Eagles have allowed the fourtth-most rushing yards and the seventh-highest rate of explosive runs (10+ yards). Saquon Barkley may not have the same explosiveness he showcased early in his career, but he is still 15th in explosive run rate among RBs this season.
Barkley has hit the over on his rushing yards prop in eight of his 13 games this season and has gained at least 63 rushing yards in nine games, including 80 against the Eagles two weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Eagles have allowed the opposing team’s leading rusher to hit the over on his rushing yards prop in five straight games and seven of their last nine games.
When you also consider that this game is expected to be played in rain and/or snow, it should be a game that features plenty of running and not a lot of passing. That should lead to plenty of volume for Barkley in this game. He also should be motivated to put up some numbers this week as he needs 84 rushing yards to reach 1,000 yards on the season. We like his chances to get there, and would consider taking an alt line, but we definitely feel very good about him surpassing 62.5 yards.
Tyrod Taylor over 26.5 rushing yards (-120 at BetMGM)
We want to sticking with the theme of fading the passing attacks and focusing on rushing yards for our player prop picks in this game, for all the reasons stated above. As such, taking the over on Tyrod Taylor’s rushing yards is our next best option for a player prop bet in this game.
When these teams played two weeks ago, Taylor entered the game to start the second half in place of the struggling Tommy DeVito. He had 21 rushing yards in just the second half, and now he’ll be playing a full game (barring injury, of course).
In the last two games he has started – last week against the Rams and week 8 against the Jets prior to his injury – Taylor has gained 33 and 40 rushing yards, respectively. He has over 20 rushing yards in the last five games in which he’s appeared.
If this game is as ugly as it’s expected to be – both in terms of weather and quality of play – then Taylor should have more than enough opportunities to run the ball. With those opportunities, she should have no problem hitting the over on 26.5 rushing yards.
Boston Scott Anytime Touchdown (+330 at DraftKings)
We cannot make player prop betting picks for an Eagles vs. Giants game without talking about the notorious “Giant Killer” Boston Scott. In case you’re unaware, Scott is the Eagles’ rarely used 3rd string running back who somehow manages to elevate his game every time he faces the Giants.
In 10 career games against the Giants, Scott has gained more yards (449 rushing, 222 receiving) and scored more touchdowns (11) than he has against any other team by a wide margin. Those numbers account for 36.2% of his career scrimmage yards and 55% of his career touchdowns.
Last season, Scott tallied 21 carries for 119 yards (5.67 average) and three touchdowns in three games against the Giants (including the playoffs). In his other 15 games, he totaled 42 carries for 159 yards (3.79 average) and two touchdowns.
Although Scott saw little action against the Giants two weeks ago, that should change this week, especially if the Eagles pull their starters in the second half. This is the perfect type of game for the Eagles deploy Scott against their division rivals and give him the opportunity to continue his inexplicable production against them.
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