Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks: Expert Same Game Parlay Picks for Monday Night Football (12/18/23)
The Monday Night Football game this week (12/18/23) features the Seattle Seahawks (6-7) against the Philadelphia Eagles (10-3) at Seattle’s Lumen Field. Both teams are riding losing streaks and desperately need to right the ship as the 2023 season enters the home stretch. The Eagles are favored at -3 against the spread while the over/under is set at 47.5 total points.
This article recommends an Eagles vs. Seahawks Same Game Parlay featuring an over/under pick and player props involving DK Metcalf and DeVonta Smith. We built our SGP on DraftKings, but we encourage you to always shop around for the best odds before you place any wagers.
A potential mitigating factor is the status of Eagles starting quarterback Jalen Hurts. Hurts, who has been battling an illness, flew to Seattle on a flight separate from teammates so as not to get anyone else sick. He hopes to play Monday night. If he is unable to go, Marcus Mariotta will start.
Let’s get to it.
Contents
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks Same Game Parlay Picks
Over 48.5 total points (-105)
We’ll start our Same Game Parlay by tailing the best bet we recommended in our matchup preview. Both of these teams have been struggling on defense this season, especially over the last few weeks. They are both in the bottom five in defensive EPA on the season, and in the bottom three over their last three games. They are also both in the bottom six scoring defenses this season.
Over their last three games, the Eagles have allowed over 450 yards per game and over 35 points per game. The Seahawks haven’t been much better, allowing 438 yards and 33 points per game over the same span. Granted, both teams faced extremely tough competition. The Eagles faced the Bills, 49ers and Cowboys, while the Seahawks faced the 49ers twice and the Cowboys. Still, those are ridiculously bad defensive numbers, and the two offenses in this game can be just as explosive as the Bills’, Cowboys’ and 49ers’ offenses.
This pick also sets us up to pick the over in a few correlated player props in our Same Game Parlay, so it’s a very solid starting point for our SGP.
DK Metcalf over 62.5 receiving yards (-115)
Our favorite player prop in this game is the over on DK Metcalf’s receiving yards. The Eagles have been one of the worst teams in the league at defending wide receivers. They are allowing 193.8 yards per game to opposing wide receivers, second most in the league. The leading wide receiver against the Eagles has gained at least 60 receiving yards in all but one game this season.
Metcalf is having another excellent season, and he’s been especially good over his last five games when he has averaged 82 yards per game. He has gone over this number in three of those games and in seven of his 12 games overall this season. The two recent games where he didn’t gain at least 62 yards were both against the 49ers, who have one of the best defenses in the league.
Metcalf also has a great track record against the Eagles. In three career games he is averaging 124 yards per game and in two of those games he gained 160+ yards. Given how much the Eagles’ defense has struggled to defend wide receivers this season, it would be very surprising if he’s held to less than half of that average.
It’s also worth noting that this pick would not change even if Geno Smith misses the game and Drew Lock gets another start under center. Lock looked competent against the 49ers last week and is more than capable of getting the ball to Metcalf.
After the first two legs, the full odds of our Same Game Parlay are at +210.
DeVonta Smith over 56.5 receiving yards (-120)
For our next leg we’ll turn our attention to our favorite player prop on the Eagles’ offense. Hurts status weighs here. After a slow start to his third season, DeVonta Smith has been excellent over his last six games. He has gone over his receiving yards prop line in all six of those games and is averaging 87.3 yards per game over that span.
We hesitated to pick the over on Smith’s yards last week because of the return of Dallas Goedert. Most of Smith’s recent production came while Goedert was out with a broken forearm, and there was uncertainty about both players’ roles in the offense once Goedert returned. But those concerns proved to be ill-founded as Smith received double-digit targets for the second straight game.
The Seahawks are not much better than the Eagles at defending wide receivers. They are allowing 167.8 yards per game to the position, 10th most in the league. They also could be missing their top cornerback, defensive Rookie of the Year candidate Devon Witherspoon. He exited last week’s game with a hip injury and did not return, and he has not yet practiced this week as of this writing.
If Witherspoon misses this game, then Seattle’s other starting CB Riq Woolen may end up shadowing AJ Brown, leaving Smith with a much easier matchup. We like this pick regardless of Witherspoon’s status, and we love it if he ends up being out.
After adding this third leg, the full odds of our SGP are +410. While we would ideally like some better odds on a 3-leg parlay, we feel very good about these three picks and will stand pat here.
Same Game Parlay Card For Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Over 48.5 total points (-105)
- DK Metcalf over 62.5 receiving yards (-115)
- DeVonta Smith over 56.5 receiving yards (-120)
Full SGP odds: +410 (a winning $10 bet pays out $51)
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