Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers, 5/24/19 8:10 PM ET Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI, TV: Washington (FOX), Chicago (FOX) ñ Radio: Milwaukee (FSWI), Philadelphia (NBCSP)
After holding on last night to defeat the Cubs in a tight 9-7 game, the Phillies hit the road to take on a Brewers team that’s coming off of a rest day after beating the Reds on Wednesday.
The last time these two teams met, the Brewers took three out of four in the series, led, as always, by outfielder Christian Yelich.
Every game is crucial for both teams, given their respective places in the standings. The Phillies (29-21) lead the NL East but only by 1.5 games over the Braves. Meanwhile, the Brewers (29-22) trail the Cubs by 1.5 games in their quest for the NL Central lead.
Phillies Starting Lineup
Against the righty Anderson, the Phillies send out a lineup with two lefty hitters and a switch hitter in Hernandez. In 12 attempts, Herrera, one of those lefties, has five hits, including two doubles off of Anderson. The two other lefties, Harper and Hernandez have only faced Anderson a combined 11 times.
The Philadelphia batter with the most success against Anderson is Maikel Franco, who, in just ten at-bats, has five hits and three home runs.
As a whole, the Phillies hit fairly solidly on the road, as their 11-11 away record would suggest. The team’s collective .250 road batting average actually exceeds their home average of .243. However, that improved average comes at the expense of their power. On the road, the Phillies have hit 17 total home runs, whereas, at home, that number skyrockets to 38.
Brewers Starting Lineup
On the hill for the Phillies is the righty Jerad Eickhoff, whom the Brewers hammered in their one matchup this season. Earlier in May, the Brewers chased Eickhoff out of the game after scoring five runs on him in just four innings.
The batter with the most career experience against Eickhoff is Yelich, but the reigning MVP has not dominated the pitcher like he has most others. In 15 at-bats, Yelich has four hits, one home run, and just one RBI. Granted the sample size is small, but, a .267 average is far below the norm for Yelich.
The only other batter with double digit at-bats against Eickhoff is Ryan Braun, who has three hits and two home runs against him. One of those homers came in the matchup from earlier this season.
Overall, the Brewers, as evidenced by their 17-9 home record, hit well at Miller Park. They have mashed 48 homers to go along with 135 RBI at home compared to 33 homers and 111 RBI on the road. Yelich, in particular, has very pronounced splits, hitting .269 with four homers on the road compared to .406 with 15 home runs at home, where he will be playing today.
Phillies vs Brewers Betting Odds
The line is currently set at Phillies +110, Brewers -130.
The betting line points in the favor of the Brewers, and it’s hard to argue, given the success of this Milwaukee lineup at home and the prior success against Eickhoff. The day of rest should only further aid Milwaukee’s cause. The Phillies are a solid road team, but, against one of the better home teams in the league, I’d put my money on the Brewers.
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