Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals, 5/29/19 7:05 PM ET Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA, TV: Philadelphia (NBCSP), St. Louis (FS-M) Radio: Philadelphia (94 WIP, WTTM 1680), St. Louis (KMOX 1120)
The Phillies took last night’s game over the Cardinals 4-3, making it two straight losses for the Birds. The big story coming before the game was the Phillies’ Odubel Herrara getting arrested Monday night and being put on administrative leave by the MLB while they investigate the assault charges that are raised against center fielder. The Phils had the excuse of this distraction to cushion them with a loss, but they didn’t let it get to that as they emerged victorious.
It’ll be lefty Génesis Cabrera taking the hill for the Cardinals in his MLB debut this evening, as he’s taken over Michael Wacha’s spot in the rotation. He’s 2-3 through nine games in the minors this year with an ERA of 6.35, but that doesn’t tell the full story as his last two starts were satisfactory, going six innings in each game and giving up 12 hits and four runs between the two games.
5-0 Aaron Nola will get the nod for the Phils tonight, coming off two straight wins in his previous two gos. He’s posted a 2.76 ERA in his last six starts, which is a vast improvement from his shaky start of a 6.84 ERA through his first five starts of the season. He’s pitched this Cardinals lineup mostly well over the course of his career, but there remain a few outliers like Fowler and DeJong who are both hitting above .330 off the right-hander.
1. A. McCutchen , CF
2. J. Segura , SS
3. B. Harper , LF
4. R. Hoskins , 1B
5. J. Realmuto , C
6. M. Franco , 3B
7. C. Hernandez , 2B
8. S. Rodriguez , RF
9. A. Nola , SP
Harper and Roskins led the Phillies last night with two hits a piece. Hernandez went long which accounted for two of the Phillies four runs. Aside from that, there wasn’t a ton of offensive production, as the Phillies’ pitching holding the Cardinals to just three runs was ultimately the deciding factor.
Interestingly enough, the Phillies are actually hitting worse (.243 BA) at home than on the road (.248 BA). While there simply isn’t any history to suggest how they’ll do against Cabrera, they are hitting left-handed pitchers better than righties on the year (.263 BA vs. .240 BA).
The Phillies couldn’t be asking for better production from Nola after he got off to that abysmal start to the season. He’s given up just 10 runs in his last five starts and aside from just one start of those five, he’s gone over five innings in each go. He’s held Carpenter and Goldschmidt both to under .250 over the course of his career, although Fowler has taken him deep twice in eight at bats and DeJong has gone yard once in six at bats.
1. D. Fowler , RF
2. P. Goldschmidt , 1B
3. P. DeJong , SS
4. M. Ozuna , LF
5. M. Carpenter , 3B
6. Y. Molina , C
7. K. Wong , 2B
8. H. Bader , CF
9. G. Cabrera , SP
The Cardinals combined for four hits total in last night’s game, which unsurprisingly proved to not be enough to win the game. Ozuna and Goldschmidt each went long, which was the source of all three of their runs. If the Cardinals want any chance of taking one from the Phillies, there will simply need to be more offensive production.
The Cardinals must see something in Génesis Cabrera that the rest of us don’t, as his Triple-A numbers (6.35 ERA) are absolutely nothing to write home about. His most notable attribute is his ability to maintain a high-90s velocity, but that means nothing if it isn’t stopping hitters.
Through 25 games at Citizens Bank Park, Goldschmidt is hitting .293 with an OBP of .357. He’s been hot lately, hitting .375 in his last six games, so expect to see him be at the helm of any offensive production the Cardinals are able to muster up tonight.
Phillies vs Cardinals Betting Odds
The line is currently set at Phillies -162 Cardinals +141 after openings at Phillies -190 Cardinals +165. That line movement isn’t enough to convince me, as I see the Phillies taking this game. I don’t see Génesis Cabrera holding the Phils to under 4 runs and with the way the Cardinals have been swinging the bat lately, they won’t put enough runs up to support a bad outing. The over/under is currently set at 10, and if you feel the need to bet that, I’d advise under as I think the Phillies will put up a decent number of runs, but the Cardinals won’t reciprocate.
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