Predictions for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 22

Saturday’s contest between the Philadelphia Phillies (49-26) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (38-38) at Citizens Bank Park has a projected final score of 5-4 based on our computer prediction, with the Phillies coming out on top. First pitch is at 4:05 PM on June 22.

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -265 +215 9.5 +102 -122

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 62 games this year, and has walked away with the win 43 times (69.4%) in those games.
  • The Phillies have been listed as a favorite of -265 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of 75 opportunities.
  • The Phillies went 7-4 over the 11 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over five times.

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • Arizona has won 16 of the 38 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (42.1%).
  • The Diamondbacks have played as a moneyline underdog of +215 or longer in just two games this season, which they split 1-1.
  • Arizona has played in 76 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 35 times (35-38-3).
  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Arizona and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler

  • The 34-year-old has an ERA of 2.84, a 3.41 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.011 in 15 games this season.
  • Zack Wheeler’s team has won 61.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-5).
  • Wheeler’s team has won eight of his 15 starts this season.
  • In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 5-10-0 at hitting the over.

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Tommy Henry

  • In eight games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 6.23, with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .303 against him.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 1-2 record in Henry’s three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Henry’s team is 3-3 over his six starts.
  • Henry’s starts went over the run total five times in six games with a set total this season.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-26
Home 29-12
Road 20-14
One-Run Games 12-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-5

Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 38-38
Home 19-18
Road 19-20
One-Run Games 12-7
Scoring 5+ Runs 29-6

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