Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 27

Thursday’s game features the Philadelphia Phillies (53-27) and the Miami Marlins (28-52) squaring off at Citizens Bank Park (on June 27) at 6:20 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 5-3 victory for the Phillies.

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Phillies vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Phillies vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -298 +240 8 -110 -110

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has come away with 47 wins in the 67 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Phillies have been listed as a favorite of -298 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of 80 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Phillies had a 7-4 record in the 11 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has won 38.5% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (25-40).
  • The Marlins have played as a moneyline underdog of +240 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
  • Miami has played in 80 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-38-2).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and went 6-9 in those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents are 6-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Phillies vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler

  • The 34-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 2.73, a 3.69 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .960.
  • Zack Wheeler’s team is 9-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Wheeler has started, his team is 9-7.
  • Games started by Wheeler have a 6-10-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers

  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.90, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season. Opponents are hitting .282 against him.
  • The Marlins are 2-10 in Rogers’ 12 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Rogers’ team has put together a 2-13 record in his 15 starts.
  • Trevor Rogers has started 15 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 53-27
Home 31-12
Road 22-15
One-Run Games 12-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 37-5

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 28-52
Home 16-27
Road 12-25
One-Run Games 13-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 15-9

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