Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 29

Saturday’s game features the Philadelphia Phillies (54-28) and the Miami Marlins (29-53) clashing at Citizens Bank Park (on June 29) at 4:05 PM. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 5-3 win for the Phillies.

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Phillies vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Phillies vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -265 +215 8.5 -120 +100

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been the favorite in 69 games this season, and has come away with the win 48 times (69.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Phillies have come away with a win three times in four chances when named as a favorite of at least -265 or better on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 35 of 82 opportunities.
  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-4 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has a 26-41 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.8% of those games).
  • The Marlins have a 1-3 record (winning only 25% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +215 or longer.
  • In the 82 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 41 times (41-39-2).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and went 6-9 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Miami and its opponents are 6-9-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Phillies vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 3.39, a 3.6 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.050.
  • Aaron Nola’s team has been victorious in 92.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 13-1.
  • In games Nola has started, his team is 13-3.
  • Games Nola has started this season hit the over seven times in 16 chances.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Roddery Munoz

  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.80, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings in seven games this season. Opponents have a .237 batting average against him.
  • The Marlins have a 1-5 record in Munoz’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Munoz’s team has won two of his seven starts.
  • Roddery Munoz has started seven contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 54-28
Home 32-13
Road 22-15
One-Run Games 12-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 37-5

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 29-53
Home 16-27
Road 13-26
One-Run Games 13-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 16-9

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