Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 30

Sunday’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies (54-29) and Miami Marlins (30-53) squaring off at Citizens Bank Park has a projected final score of 4-2 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Phillies, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will start at 1:35 PM ET on June 30.

Place your bets on any MLB matchup at BetMGM, and sign up with our link for a first-time deposit bonus!

Phillies vs. Marlins Matchup Info

MLB is back on Apple TV+! Watch two live games every week, daily coverage, and more.

Phillies vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Marlins 2
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Bet on this or any MLB matchup at BetMGM

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Phillies vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -258 +210 8.5 -104 -125

Get tickets for any MLB game this season at Ticketmaster!

Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 70 games this year, and has walked away with the win 48 times (68.6%) in those games.
  • This season, the Phillies have come away with a win three times in five chances when named as a favorite of at least -258 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of 83 opportunities.
  • The Phillies had a 7-5 record in the 12 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has gone 27-41 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 39.7% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +210 or longer, the Marlins have a 1-5 record (winning just 16.7% of their games).
  • Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 41 times this season for a 41-40-2 record against the over/under.
  • In 15 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins had a record of 7-8.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.

Catch MLB action all season long on ESPN+!

Read More About This Game

Phillies vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 1.83, a 5.21 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .915.
  • Ranger Suarez’s team is 10-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Suarez’s team has a 13-3 record in his starts this season.
  • In Suarez’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Yonny Chirinos

  • In his two games this season, opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of .275 against him. He has a 2.70 ERA and averages 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Marlins were the underdog on the moneyline for two Yonny Chirinos starts this season — they won both.
  • His team has won both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Chirinos’ two starts with a total this season both went under.

Rep your team with officially licensed MLB gear! Head to Fanatics to find jerseys, shirts, and much more.

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 54-29
Home 32-14
Road 22-15
One-Run Games 12-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 37-5

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 30-53
Home 16-27
Road 14-26
One-Run Games 14-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 16-9

Not all offers available in all states, please visit BetMGM for the latest promotions for your area. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

Shared content written by the Lineups Staff!

Hot MLB Stories