Predictions for Phillies vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 17

Monday’s game at Citizens Bank Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (47-24) going head-to-head against the San Diego Padres (37-38) at 6:40 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-4 win for the Phillies, who are a small favorite based on our model.

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Phillies vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Padres Betting Lines

Phillies vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -192 +160 9.5 -105 -115

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has come away with 41 wins in the 58 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Phillies have come away with a win 16 times in 20 chances when named as a favorite of at least -192 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 31 of 71 opportunities.
  • The Phillies went 8-3 across the 11 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has won 14 of the 30 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (46.7%).
  • The Padres are 2-1 (winning 66.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +160 or longer.
  • San Diego has had an over/under set by bookmakers 75 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 37 of those games (37-37-1).
  • In five games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Padres had a record of 1-4.
  • San Diego and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Phillies vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez

  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 3.07, a 2.65 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.393.
  • Cristopher Sanchez’s team is 5-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Sanchez’s team has won six of his 13 starts.
  • Games Sanchez has started this season hit the over six times in 13 chances.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Randy Vasquez

  • The 25-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.93, with 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings in eight games this season. Opponents are hitting .323 against him.
  • The Padres have a 1-3 record in Vasquez’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Vasquez’s team has a 2-6 record in his eight starts.
  • Randy Vasquez has had eight starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and three of those matchups finished over the total.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-24
Home 27-10
Road 20-14
One-Run Games 11-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 33-5

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-38
Home 18-21
Road 19-17
One-Run Games 8-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-4

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