Predictions for Phillies vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 18

Tuesday’s contest at Citizens Bank Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (48-24) going head-to-head against the San Diego Padres (37-39) at 6:40 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-3 win for the Phillies, who are a slight favorite based on our model.

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Phillies vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Padres Betting Lines

Phillies vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -148 +124 8.5 -120 +100

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 59 games this year, and has walked away with the win 42 times (71.2%) in those games.
  • This season, the Phillies have come away with a win 31 times in 41 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 32 of 72 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Phillies had an 8-3 record across the 11 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 15 games had set totals).

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has been the moneyline underdog 31 total times this season. It has gone 14-17 in those games.
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Padres have a 5-6 record (winning 45.5% of their games).
  • San Diego has played in 76 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 38 times (38-37-1).
  • The Padres have played as underdogs five times in their past 15 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.

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Phillies vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

  • The 31-year-old has pitched to a 3.48 ERA this season with 8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.5 walks per nine across 14 games.
  • Aaron Nola’s team has been victorious in 91.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-1.
  • In games Nola has started, his team is 11-3.
  • Games Nola has started this season hit the over six times in 14 chances.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Michael King

  • The 29-year-old has a 3.58 ERA and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings over 15 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .215 to opposing hitters.
  • The Padres have been the moneyline underdog in six of King’s starts this season, and they went 4-2 in those games.
  • King’s team has won nine of his 14 starts.
  • Michael King has had 14 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in nine of those games.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 48-24
Home 28-10
Road 20-14
One-Run Games 11-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-5

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-39
Home 18-21
Road 19-18
One-Run Games 8-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-4

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