Predictions for Phillies vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 19

Wednesday’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies (49-24) and the San Diego Padres (37-40) at Citizens Bank Park has a projected final score of 4-3 based on our computer prediction, with the Phillies securing the victory. First pitch is at 1:05 PM on June 19.

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Phillies vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Padres Betting Lines

Phillies vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -185 +154 8.5 -110 -110

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been the favorite in 60 games this season, and has come away with the win 43 times (71.7%) in those contests.
  • The Phillies have a win-loss record of 19-5 when favored by -185 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of 73 opportunities.
  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for 11 of their past 15 games, and they finished 8-3 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego is 14-18 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.8% of those games).
  • The Padres are 2-3 (winning 40% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +154 or longer.
  • San Diego has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 38 times this season for a 38-38-1 record against the over/under.
  • In five games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Padres had a record of 0-5.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 6-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Phillies vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 1.77, a 4.79 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .880 in 14 games this season.
  • Ranger Suarez’s team has won 90.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-1).
  • Suarez’s team is 13-1 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Suarez’s 14 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Matt Waldron

  • The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.66, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season. Opponents have a .231 batting average against him.
  • The Padres have a 1-5 record in Waldron’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Waldron’s team is 5-9 over his 14 starts.
  • Waldron’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in 14 games with a set total this season.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-24
Home 29-10
Road 20-14
One-Run Games 12-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-5

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-40
Home 18-21
Road 19-19
One-Run Games 8-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-4

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