Predictions for Phillies vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 11

Tuesday’s contest at Fenway Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (45-20) going head to head against the Boston Red Sox (33-33) at 7:10 PM ET (on June 11). Our computer prediction projects a close 6-5 victory for the Phillies, so it should be a competitive matchup.

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Phillies vs. Red Sox Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Red Sox Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Red Sox 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Phillies vs. Red Sox Betting Lines

Phillies vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -155 +130 8 -105 -115

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been the favorite in 56 games this season, and has come away with the win 40 times (71.4%) in those contests.
  • The Phillies have a win-loss record of 29-10 when favored by -155 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of 65 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Phillies had a 9-5 record over the 14 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total two times.

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has won 46.7% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (14-16).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer, the Red Sox have gone 2-6 (25%).
  • Boston has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 66 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 29 of those games (29-32-5).
  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and went 1-3 in those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Boston and its opponents are 9-4-2 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Phillies vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler

  • The 34-year-old has an ERA of 2.23, a 3.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .967 in 13 games this season.
  • Zack Wheeler’s team is 7-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Wheeler has started, his team is 7-6.
  • Games started by Wheeler have a 4-9-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Kutter Crawford

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.51, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 13 games this season. Opposing batters have a .229 batting average against him.
  • The Red Sox are 1-4 in Crawford’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Crawford’s team has won three of his 13 starts.
  • Kutter Crawford has had 13 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and five of those matchups hit the over.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-20
Home 27-10
Road 18-10
One-Run Games 11-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 32-4

Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 33-33
Home 14-18
Road 19-15
One-Run Games 7-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 26-4

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