Predictions for Pirates vs. Cardinals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 2

Tuesday’s contest between the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-43) and the St. Louis Cardinals (43-40) at PNC Park is expected to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Pirates coming out on top. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on July 2.

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Matchup Info

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Cardinals 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Betting Lines

Pirates vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Pirates -125 +105 8 -102 -118

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has come away with 17 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Pirates have come away with a win nine times in 21 chances when named as a favorite of at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 37 of 83 chances this season.
  • The Pirates played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their past 15 games, and they went 5-2 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • St. Louis has won 20 of the 41 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (48.8%).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer, the Cardinals have a record of 9-17 (34.6%).
  • St. Louis has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 82 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 34 of those games (34-43-5).
  • In six games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Cardinals had a record of 4-2.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, St. Louis and its opponents are 7-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with a 3.20 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .246.
  • Mitch Keller’s team has been victorious in 42.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-4.
  • Keller’s team has won 11 of his 16 starts this season.
  • Out of Keller’s 16 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Cardinals’ Starting Pitcher: Kyle Gibson

  • The 36-year-old has an ERA of 3.70, with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season. Opponents are hitting .227 against him.
  • The Cardinals are 5-5 in Gibson’s 10 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Gibson’s team has a 7-8 record in his starts this season.
  • Kyle Gibson has started 15 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in five of them.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 40-43
Home 19-20
Road 21-23
One-Run Games 14-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 24-6

Cardinals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 43-40
Home 24-18
Road 19-22
One-Run Games 15-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 24-7

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