Predictions for Pirates vs. Diamondbacks: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 4

Sunday’s contest between the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-54) and Arizona Diamondbacks (59-52) going head to head at PNC Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Pirates, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 1:35 PM ET on August 4.

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Info

  • When: Sunday, August 4, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Pirates -161 +136 7.5 -112 -108

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has been the favorite in 46 games this season, and has come away with the win 26 times (56.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Pirates have been victorious five times in 10 chances when named as a favorite of at least -161 or better on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 50 of 110 opportunities.
  • The Pirates had a 4-1 record in the five games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • Arizona has won 42.9% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (24-32).
  • The Diamondbacks are 4-7 (winning just 36.4% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +136 or longer.
  • Arizona has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 111 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 59 of those games (59-49-3).
  • In five games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 2-3.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Arizona and its opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes

  • The 22-year-old has an ERA of 1.90 and 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .198 in 13 games this season.
  • Paul Skenes’ team has been victorious in 72.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-3.
  • Skenes’ team has won nine of his 13 starts this season.
  • In Skenes’ 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson

  • The 26-year-old has amassed a 4.53 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings during 20 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .281 to opposing hitters.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 4-8 record in Nelson’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Over Nelson’s 18 starts, his team is 10-8.
  • Ryne Nelson has had 18 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in eight of those matchups.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 56-54
Home 27-27
Road 29-27
One-Run Games 19-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-8

Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 59-52
Home 31-25
Road 28-27
One-Run Games 19-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 46-11

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