Predictions for Padres vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 7

Wednesday’s game that pits the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-56) versus the San Diego Padres (62-52) at PNC Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Pirates. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on August 7.

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Padres vs. Pirates Matchup Info

  • When: Wednesday, August 7, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Padres vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Padres vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Padres vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Padres -170 +142 8 -115 -105

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Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has been the favorite in 63 games this season, and has come away with the win 34 times (54%) in those contests.
  • The Padres have a mark of 9-7 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -170 or better on the moneyline.
  • San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 60 of 114 opportunities.
  • The Padres played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their past 15 games, and they finished 6-1 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — San Diego and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh is 29-34 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46% of those games).
  • The Pirates are 5-9 (winning just 35.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +142 or longer.
  • Pittsburgh has had an over/under set by bookmakers 112 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 51 of those games (51-57-4).
  • In 10 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Pirates had a record of 4-6.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.

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Padres vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Michael King

  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.26, a 3.2 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.158 in 22 games this season.
  • Michael King’s team has a record of 6-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • King’s team has a 13-8 record in his starts this season.
  • Games King has started this season hit the over 12 times in 21 chances.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Marco Gonzales

  • The 32-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.72, with 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings in six games this season. Opponents are hitting .299 against him.
  • The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Gonzales’ starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those games.
  • Gonzales’ team has won three of his six starts.
  • Gonzales’ starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of six contests.

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Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 62-52
Home 30-29
Road 32-23
One-Run Games 13-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 46-6

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 56-56
Home 27-29
Road 29-27
One-Run Games 19-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-9

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