Predictions for Pirates vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 22

Saturday’s game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (36-39) and the Tampa Bay Rays (37-39) at PNC Park has a good chance to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 6-5, with the Pirates securing the victory. First pitch is at 4:05 PM ET on June 22.

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Pirates vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Pirates vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Rays 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Pirates vs. Rays Betting Lines

Pirates vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Pirates -115 -105 8.5 -115 -105

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has been victorious in 16, or 48.5%, of the 33 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Pirates have won 13 of 29 games when listed as at least -115 or better on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of 75 opportunities.
  • The Pirates went 6-3 across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to go over the total five times.

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has won 40.6% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (13-19).
  • The Rays have a 9-17 record (winning only 34.6% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -105 or longer.
  • Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to go over the total 40 times this season for a 40-35-1 record against the over/under.
  • The Rays have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 9-5-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Pirates vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones

  • The 22-year-old has an ERA of 3.76, a 3.86 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.127 in 14 games this season.
  • Jared Jones’ team has a record of 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Jones’ team has won five of his 14 starts.
  • Games Jones has started this season hit the over seven times in 14 chances.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Zach Eflin

  • The 30-year-old has put up a 4.12 ERA and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 13 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .271 to opposing hitters.
  • The Rays were the underdog on the moneyline for four Zach Eflin starts this season — they won all of the games.
  • Eflin’s team has an 8-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Eflin has had 13 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and six of those outings hit the over.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 36-39
Home 18-19
Road 18-20
One-Run Games 13-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 22-5

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-39
Home 19-23
Road 18-16
One-Run Games 15-6
Scoring 5+ Runs 23-6

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