Predictions for Pirates vs. Reds: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 17

Monday’s game features the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-37) and the Cincinnati Reds (34-37) facing off at PNC Park in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Pirates according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 6:40 PM ET on June 17.

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Pirates vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Pirates vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Pirates vs. Reds Betting Lines

Pirates vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Pirates -175 +145 8.5 +100 -120

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has been the favorite in 31 games this season, and has come away with the win 14 times (45.2%) in those contests.
  • The Pirates have a mark of 1-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -175 or better on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 34 of 71 opportunities.
  • The Pirates went 4-3 over the seven games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Pittsburgh combined with its opponents to go over the run total six times.

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has won 40% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (16-24).
  • The Reds have gone 2-2 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +145 or longer (50%).
  • Cincinnati has played in 71 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 31 times (31-37-3).
  • The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Cincinnati and its opponents are 6-8-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Pirates vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes

  • The 22-year-old has pitched in six games this season with a 2.43 ERA and 12.4 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .213.
  • Paul Skenes’ team has a record of 4-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Skenes’ team has won five of his six starts.
  • Games Skenes has started this season hit the over five times in six chances.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Carson Spiers

  • Opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .257 against him this season. He has a 2.33 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings over his five games.
  • Carson Spiers and his team lost both of the two games he pitched a season ago when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • He appeared in two games last season, but his team dropped both of them.
  • In two opportunities with a run total set by sportsbooks last season, the games he pitched in went over one time.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 34-37
Home 16-17
Road 18-20
One-Run Games 12-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 22-5

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 34-37
Home 18-19
Road 16-18
One-Run Games 5-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 23-5

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