Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Player Props & Picks (10/22/23)

The Pittsburgh Steelers travel to face the Los Angeles Rams this Sunday afternoon (10/22/23). Get Steelers vs. Rams player props odds and best bets below, including Cooper Kupp and Diontae Johnson.

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Picks

Which players can decimate their props in the Steelers vs. Rams game?

Cooper Kupp 100+ Receiving Yards (+120 DK)

Since returning from injury two weeks ago, Cooper Kupp has posted 118 and 148 yards on a combined 21 receptions. The Stafford to Kupp connection remains as strong as ever, and injuries appear to be the only factor that can disrupt their production. Rookie Puka Nacua certainly slashes a few targets off of Kupps’ total, but he also deter defenses from doubling Kupp. Therefore, Nacua shouldn’t be viewed as a tremendous threat to his production. 

Los Angeles faces a Pittsburgh secondary that has been trampled by wide receivers. They have allowed the second most receiving yards and eighth most receptions to opposing wide receivers, which bodes well for Kupp. Patrick Peterson, Levi Wallace and company will struggle mightily to contain Kupp’s shiftiness here, especially in the open field. Running back Kyren Williams’ injury likely increases Los Angeles’ passing volume too. 

He’s recorded 100+ yards in 18 of his last 28 games since the 2021 breakout season, or 64.2 percent of the time. Based on these odds, Kupp must hit this mark only about 45 percent of the time. 

Cooper Kupp Anytime Touchdown (+105 DK)

While Kupp should rack up yards against Pittsburgh, he’s also a serious threat to find the end zone. Kupp owns three red zone targets through two games; this pace would place him among the current league leaders. Extrapolation from small samples is typically unwise, but it’s accurate in Kupp’s case given his talent and past red zone target production.  

Opposing wide receivers are averaging 1.2 reception touchdowns per game against Pittsburgh – the fifth highest rate. The Steelers are simply being dominated by receivers in all facets of the game due to their extremely weak secondary. Plus, Los Angeles may be more inclined to throw in the red zone with Kyren Williams out, which boosts Kupp’s already massive touchdown equity. 

He has scored in 17 of his last 28 games, which is 60.7 percent of the time. Given the odds, Kupp needs to score here about 48 percent of the time. 

Diontae Johnson Over 4.5 Receptions (+110 BMGM)

Steelers wide receiver Diontae Johnson makes his return after missing the past few games with an injury. He’s a target machine; over the past three seasons, Johnson has averaged 9.5 targets and 5.8 receptions per game. 

Pittsburgh’s passing offense is completely lacking at the moment. George Pickens provides Kenny Pickett with a dangerous deeper threat, but he’s missing a go-to short and intermediate target that moves the chains. Diontae Johnson fills this void nicely, as the Toledo product thrives here. 

Los Angeles’ secondary has limited opposing receivers this season, but Johnson’s expected volume should override their defense in the end. 

Johnson must record five receptions about 47 percent of the time.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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