The 2-4 Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Hard Rock Stadium to take on the 3-3 Miami Dolphins. Coming off of an emphatic 20-18 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Pittsburgh Steelers are set on rolling with QB Kenny Pickett at quarterback in this one. He’s not the only quarterback who has cleared concussion protocol though, as Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa will start for the Fins after missing the last two games. Let’s take a look at the odds, preview, injuries, depth charts, and key matchup to find the best bet for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins Odds
The Miami Dolphins are -7 to -7.5 point favorites depending on the sportsbook. On the moneyline, the Dolphins are -325 favorites to the Steelers +270. The over/under is set at 45.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins Preview & Prediction
The hype surrounding the Miami Dolphins’ 3-0 start has all but faded away as the team currently sits at 3-3. While the Steelers’ 2-4 start is reminiscent of the team’s current rebuilding-state, this was supposed to be the year that the Dolphins would finally break out. Only in week seven, both teams still have a chance to salvage their seasons and it starts on Sunday night.
While the Dolphins defense played well against the Vikings, the offense’s performance made you question if Miami’s head coach is truly the offensive-guru he was so touted to be. On the back of a Jaylen Waddle red zone fumble in the fourth quarter and two Teddy Bridgewater interceptions, this team finds itself in familiar 3-3 territory. Now, with Tua back, this is a must-win for Miami as the AFC East is tied at three a piece, except for the leading 5-1 Bills.
The Steelers have had a quarterback controversy on their hands as Mitch Trubisky and Kenny Pickett have traded the role of the starter over the last few weeks. Despite Pickett formally winning the job, Trubisky entered into last week’s game against the Bucs, after Pickett exited with a concussion, and played well enough to pull out a victory. The real MVP of the game was the defense though, as the unit held Tom Brady and co. to just 9 points on three red zone drives.
With Tua back, expect the Dolphins to win this game. Losing back-to-back games in “closer than the score would indicate” fashion, Miami’s offense ranks 6th and their defense plays better than the stats reflect. With the Steelers coming off of a much needed win, the spread of -7 is a close one to call and money should be split in terms of handle and ticket #.
Prediction: Dolphins 24 | Steelers 20
Steelers vs Dolphins Betting Trends
- Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 7.
Steelers vs Dolphins Key Injuries
-CB James Pierre (Questionable)
-LT Terron Armstead (Questionable)
-CB Xavien Howard (Questionable)
-CB Keion Crossen (Doubtful)
-WR Jaylen Waddle (Questionable)
Steelers vs Dolphins Key Matchup
Tua versus Steelers Secondary
With Tua back, expect Mike McDaniel to utilize his dangerous receiving core more than he has in the past two games. While the Dolphins experimented with the run with back Raheem Mostert, expect the team to get back to their passing ways. The Steelers’ secondary is dangerous though and former Dolphin Minkah Fitzpatrick is largely the reason why. With Minkah sulking in the back-field, expect Tua to ease back into the passing game.