Prediction & Injury Report For Jets vs Patriots (11/20/22)

The 6-3 New York Jets travel to Foxborough, Massachusetts to take on the 5-4 New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on Sunday at 1pm ET. With the AFC East lead within the grasp of one game for the Jets and two games for the Patriots, this match-up is the marquee game of the 1pm slate this week. Can the Jets finally pull one out in New England after the last decade of torment from Bill Belichick? Let’s take a look at the odds, preview, prediction, injuries, key matchup, and depth charts to see who has the edge in this one. 

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Odds

The Spread: Jets +3.5 (-115) | Patriots -3.5 (-115)

Over/Under (O/U): 38 (O: -110 | U: -110)

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Preview & Prediction

The AFC East may be the funnest division to watch in all of football. While bettors counted out the New York Jets this season, this team is fired-up and is riding the powerful wave of being the perpetual underdogs. It seems as though head coach Robert Saleh has finally turned around the culture of an organization that was down-trodden for most of the last decade. WIth a stifling defense and with a decently productive offense, the Jets can do some real damage when it matters most. 

The fourth placed team in the AFC East, the Patriots have slowly climbed their way back into playoff contention after a 1-3 start. Head coach Bill Belichick is still out there as his defense ripped through the Indianapolis Colts two weeks ago by a score of 26-3, one week after beating the Jets 22-17. Fresh off the bye, odds-makers are expecting something similar in Foxborough this week. 

GAME PREDICTION:

The odds-makers have set the trap and here comes the public bettors! +3.5 seems like an enticing number if you were to just examine the records, being that the Jets are second in the AFC East and the Patriots are last. But historically, the Jets have struggled mightily against the Patriots in Gillette stadium and no one in the league is scared of Jets’ quarterback Zach Wilson. That being said, no one in the league is scared of Patriots’ quarterback Mac Jones, so go figure. In similar offensive situations, expect these teams to rely on their defenses to win this football game. 

Over the last few weeks, the Patriots’ defense has come alive and looked like the Super-Bowl winning versions of itself in the past. Ranking 4th in total defensive rankings over at Lineups.com, the Patriots defense should make easy work of Zach Wilson. On the other side of the ball however, the real question remains if Mac Jones can do anything meaningful against the 8th ranked defense in the league in the New York Jets. Given the bright lights of Foxbourough though, the Patriots are the safer bet in this one. 

Take the Patriots to cover -3.5

Betting Trends

• Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in November.

Key Injuries

Jets Injuries:

-WR C. Davis (Q)

-DT S. Rankings (D)

Patriots Injuries:

-DL C. Barmore (Q)

-S K. Dugger (Q)

Key Matchup

Patriots Running Core versus Jets’ Defensive Line

Patriots backs Rhamondre Stevenson and Damien Harris have another tough matchup against Quinnen Williams and the Jets defensive front. While Stevenson ran for 71 yards on 16 touches and Harris ran for 37 yards on 11 carries in their last 22-17 win over the team, expect Saleh to adjust his defensive line to try and neutralize the Patriots’ strongest offensive weapon: the run game. 

New York Jets Depth Chart

QB: Zach Wilson
RB1: Michael Carter
RB2: James Robinson
LWR: Corey Davis
RWR: Elijah Moore
SWR: Braxton Berrios
TE1: CJ Uzomah

New England Patriots Depth Chart

QB: Mac Jones
RB1: Rhamondre Stevenson
RB2: Damien Harris
LWR: Nelseon Agholor
RWR: DeVante Parker
SWR: Jakobi Myers
TE1: Hunter Henry